article
Poisson–geometric INAR(1) process for modeling count time series with overdispersion
Registro en:
0039-0402
Autor
Bourguignon, Marcelo
Resumen
In this paper, we propose a new first-order non-negative integervalued
autoregressive [INAR(1)] process with Poisson–geometric
marginals based on binomial thinning for modeling integer-valued
time series with overdispersion. Also, the new process has, as a particular
case, the Poisson INAR(1) and geometric INAR(1) processes.
The main properties of the model are derived, such as probability
generating function, moments, conditional distribution, higher-order
moments, and jumps. Estimators for the parameters of process are
proposed, and their asymptotic properties are established. Some
numerical results of the estimators are presented with a discussion of
the obtained results. Applications to two real data sets are given to
show the potentiality of the new process.