Value of operational forecasts of seasonal average sea surface temperature anomalies for selected rain-fed agricultural locations of Chile

dc.creatorMeza, FJ
dc.creatorWilks, DS
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T13:44:09Z
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-02T18:48:35Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T13:44:09Z
dc.date.available2024-05-02T18:48:35Z
dc.date.created2024-01-10T13:44:09Z
dc.date.issued2003
dc.identifier10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00005-4
dc.identifier0168-1923
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00005-4
dc.identifierhttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/78853
dc.identifierWOS:000182871200002
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/9271198
dc.description.abstractThis study investigates the economic value of several simple forecasts of 3-month average eastern tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA). Two Chilean agricultural regions were selected and the value of information for the main crops is obtained using an integrated model. The value of perfect forecasts is computed along with several simply formulated imperfect seasonal forecasts using a classification of the sea surface temperature anomalies in the equatorial Pacific. The main relationships between the accuracy of the forecasts and the economic benefits that can be obtained by using sea surface temperature forecasts are presented. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
dc.languageen
dc.publisherELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectsea surface temperature forecast
dc.subjectexpected value of information
dc.subjectforecast accuracy
dc.subjectChilean agriculture
dc.subjectSOUTHERN-OSCILLATION
dc.subjectEL-NINO
dc.subjectSOLAR-RADIATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectPREDICTION
dc.subjectWEATHER
dc.subjectMODEL
dc.subjectENSO
dc.subjectSIMULATION
dc.titleValue of operational forecasts of seasonal average sea surface temperature anomalies for selected rain-fed agricultural locations of Chile
dc.typeartículo


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