Article
Development and validation of a clinical rule for the diagnosis of chikungunya fever in a dengue-endemic area
Registro en:
BATISTA, Raquel Pereira et al. Development and validation of a clinical rule for the diagnosis of chikungunya fever in a dengue-endemic area. Plos One, v. 18, n. 1, p. 1-13, Jan. 6, 2023.
1932-6203
10.1371/journal.pone.0279970
Autor
Batista, Raquel Pereira
Hökerberg, Yara Hahr Marques
Oliveira, Raquel de Vasconcellos Carvalhaes de
Passos, Sonia Regina Lambert
Resumen
This study was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - Brasil (CAPES) - Finance Code 001. URL: https://www.gov.br/capes/pt-br. YHMH was supported by Estácio de Sá University (Pesquisa Produtividade); SRLP was supported by Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnológico – CNPq (310765/2016-1). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis or preparation of the manuscript. Rio de Janeiro is a dengue-endemic city that experienced Zika and chikungunya epidemics between 2015 and 2019. Differential diagnosis is crucial for indicating adequate treatment and assessing prognosis and risk of death. This study aims to derive and validate a clinical rule for diagnosing chikungunya based on 3,214 suspected cases consecutively treated at primary and secondary health units of the sentinel surveillance system (up to 7 days from onset of symptoms) in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Of the total sample, 624 were chikungunya, 88 Zika, 51 dengue, and 2,451 were negative for all these arboviruses according to real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). The derived rule included fever (1 point), exanthema (1 point), myalgia (2 points), arthralgia or arthritis (2 points), and joint edema (2 points), providing an AUC (area under the receiver operator curve) = 0.695 (95% CI: 0.662-0.725). Scores of 4 points or more (validation sample) showed 74.3% sensitivity (69.0% - 79.2%) and 51.5% specificity (48.8% - 54.3%). Adding more symptoms improved the specificity at the expense of a lower sensitivity compared to definitions proposed by government agencies based on fever alone (European Center for Disease Control) or in combination with arthralgia (World Health Organization) or arthritis (Pan American Health Organization, Brazilian Ministry of Health). The proposed clinical rule offers a rapid, low-cost, easy-to-apply strategy to differentiate chikungunya fever from other arbovirus infections during epidemics.