| dc.contributor | Rodriguez-Lesmes, Paul | |
| dc.contributor | García Suaza, Andrés Felipe | |
| dc.creator | Ortiz Ortiz, Santiago | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2022-12-21T04:57:55Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-06-06T16:55:45Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2022-12-21T04:57:55Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-06-06T16:55:45Z | |
| dc.date.created | 2022-12-21T04:57:55Z | |
| dc.identifier | https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_37825 | |
| dc.identifier | https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/37825 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/6650165 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Households tend to have heterogeneous responses to natural phenomena, such as deciding whether and when to have children. This paper analyzes the mid-term effect of housing affectations caused by the floods during the “La Niña” phenomenon on fertility decisions. Unlike some analyses of climate shocks and fertility decisions developed in the context of significant losses in life and infrastructure, “La Niña” did not represent a high risk in people’s lives. However, it was large enough to generate shocks in families’ decisions via loss of jobs and crops or other means of subsistence that could reduce the household’s sources of income. We use a difference-in-differences strategy to compare municipalities with high exposure to flooding, measured by the percentage of affected homes, against municipalities with low exposure before and after the climate shock. Our main results suggest an increase of 6% in the average total fertility rate (TFR) in the most flood-affected municipalities during the winter season. We argue that this effect is driven by the Colombian government’s broad humanitarian aid policy and the perception of children as income insurance in the long term. | |
| dc.language | eng | |
| dc.publisher | Universidad del Rosario | |
| dc.publisher | Facultad de Economía | |
| dc.publisher | Maestría en Economía | |
| dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | |
| dc.rights | Abierto (Texto Completo) | |
| dc.rights | EL AUTOR, manifiesta que la obra objeto de la presente autorización es original y la realizó sin violar o usurpar derechos de autor de terceros, por lo tanto la obra es de exclusiva autoría y tiene la titularidad sobre la misma.
PARGRAFO: En caso de presentarse cualquier reclamación o acción por parte de un tercero en cuanto a los derechos de autor sobre la obra en cuestión, EL AUTOR, asumirá toda la responsabilidad, y saldrá en defensa de los derechos aquí autorizados; para todos los efectos la universidad actúa como un tercero de buena fe.
EL AUTOR, autoriza a LA UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO, para que en los términos establecidos en la Ley 23 de 1982, Ley 44 de 1993, Decisión andina 351 de 1993, Decreto 460 de 1995 y demás normas generales sobre la materia, utilice y use la obra objeto de la presente autorización.
--------------------------------------
POLITICA DE TRATAMIENTO DE DATOS PERSONALES. Declaro que autorizo previa y de forma informada el tratamiento de mis datos personales por parte de LA UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO para fines académicos y en aplicación de convenios con terceros o servicios conexos con actividades propias de la academia, con estricto cumplimiento de los principios de ley. Para el correcto ejercicio de mi derecho de habeas data cuento con la cuenta de correo habeasdata@urosario.edu.co, donde previa identificación podré solicitar la consulta, corrección y supresión de mis datos. | |
| dc.source | Guerra-Cújar, M E; Prem, M; Rodríguez-Lesmes, P; Vargas, J (2022) A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement. Toulouse: Institute For Advanced Study in Toulouse: IAST; | |
| dc.source | Brando, J F; Santos, R J (2015) La Niña y los niños: Effects of an unexpected winter on early life human. Bogotá D.C.: Documentos CEDE, Universidad de Los Andes; | |
| dc.source | Bernal-Macías, C (2021) Child labor, rainfall shock, and financial inclusion: Evidence from rural. Bogotá D.C.: Facultad de Economía, Universidad del Rosario; | |
| dc.source | Marchetta, F; Sahn, D; Tiberti, L (2018) School or Work? The Role of Weather Shocks in Madagascar. Bonn: IZA Discussion Papers, No. 11435; | |
| dc.source | Dell, M; Jones, B; Olken, B (2014) What do we learn from the weather? The new climate-economy literature. En: Journal of Economic Literature. Vol. 52; pp. 740–798 | |
| dc.source | Burke, M; Hsiang, S; Miguel, E (2015) Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. En: Nature. Vol. 527; pp. 235–239 | |
| dc.source | Rentschler, J; Salhab, M; Jafino, B (2022) Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries. En: Nature Communications. Vol. 13; No. 3527; | |
| dc.source | Abadie, Alberto; Athey, Susan; Imbens, Guido; Wooldridge, Jeffrey (2022) When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?. : Working Paper, arXiv; | |
| dc.source | Euscátegui, C; Hurtado, G (2011) Análisis del impacto del fenómeno de ``La Niña'' 2010-2011 en la. : IDEAM; | |
| dc.source | Ocha, (2010) Temporada de lluvias 2010 Fenómeno de La Niña. Informe de Situación #6. : OCHA; | |
| dc.source | Bid-Cepal, (2012) Valoración de daños y pérdidas Ola invernal en Colombia 2010-2011. : BID-CEPAL-DNP; | |
| dc.source | Nuñez, J; Hurtado-Caycedo, C; Páez, F; Bateman, A; Pinzón, C; Gutiérrez, C; Castillo, J (2013) Evaluación de los programas para la atención del Fenómeno de la Niña. Bogotá D.C.: Fedesarrollo; | |
| dc.source | Ramírez, J C; de Aguas, J M (2016) Configuración territorial de las provincias de Colombia. Ruralidad y redes. : CEPAL; | |
| dc.source | Dnp, (2018) Índice Municipal de Riesgos de Desastres Ajustado por Capacidades. : DNP; | |
| dc.source | Winsemius, H; Aerts, J; van Beek, L; Bierkens, M; Bouwman, A; Jongman, B; Kwadijk, J; Ligtvoet, W; Lucas, P; van Vuuren, D; Ward, P (2016) Global drivers of future river flood risk. En: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 6; pp. 381–385 | |
| dc.source | Hallegatte, S; Bangalorem, M; Bonzanigo, L; Fay, M; Kane, T; Narloch, U; Rozenberg, J; Treguer, D; Vogt-Schilb, A (2016) Shock Waves Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty. Washington, DC: World Bank; | |
| dc.source | Hirabayashi, Y; Mahendran, R; Koirala, S; Konoshima, L; Yamazaki, D; Watanabe, S; Kim, H; Kanae, S (2013) Global flood risk under climate change. En: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 3; pp. 816–821 | |
| dc.source | Bilsborrow, R (1987) Population Pressures and Agricultural Development in Developing Countries:. En: World Development. Vol. 15; No. 2; pp. 183–203 | |
| dc.source | Davis, K (1963) The Theory of Change and Response in Modern Demographic History. En: Population Index. Vol. 29; No. 4; pp. 345-366 | |
| dc.source | Davis, J; López-Carr, D (2010) The effects of migrant remittances on population-environment dynamics in. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 32; pp. 216-237 | |
| dc.source | Bremner, J; Lopez-Carr, D; Suter, L; Davis, J (2010) Population, poverty, environment, and climate dynamics in the developing. En: Interdisciplinary Environmental Review. Vol. 11; pp. 112-126 | |
| dc.source | de Sherbinin, A; Carr, D; Cassels, S; Jiang, L (2007) Population and Environment. En: Annual Review of Environment and Resources. Vol. 32; pp. 345-373 | |
| dc.source | Finlay, J (2009) Fertility Response to Natural Disasters The Case of Three High Mortality. : Policy Research Working Paper 4883, World Bank; | |
| dc.source | Nobles, J; Frankenberg, E; Thomas, D (2015) The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics After a Natural. En: Demography. Vol. 52; pp. 15-38 | |
| dc.source | Davis, J (2017) Fertility after natural disaster: Hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 38; No. 4; pp. 448–466 | |
| dc.source | Barreca, A; Deschenes, O; Guldi, M (2018) Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth. En: Demography. Vol. 55; pp. 1269–1293 | |
| dc.source | Sellers, S; Gray, C (2019) Climate shocks constrain human fertility in Indonesia. En: World Development. Vol. 117; pp. 357–369 | |
| dc.source | Alam, S; Pörtner, C (2018) Income shocks, contraceptive use, and timing of fertility. En: Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 131; pp. 96-103 | |
| dc.source | Hope, R (2002) Wildlife harvesting, conservation and poverty: The economics of olive. En: Environmental Conservation. Vol. 29; pp. 375-384 | |
| dc.source | Mea, (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press; | |
| dc.source | Ellis, Frank (1999) Rural Livelihood Diversity in Developing Countries: Evidence and Policy. En: ODI Natural Resources Perspectives. Vol. 40; | |
| dc.source | Eakin, Hallie; Lemos, Maria (2010) Institutions and change: The challenge of building adaptive capacity in. En: Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. Vol. 20; pp. 1-3 | |
| dc.source | Palloni, A; Rafalimanana, H (1999) The Effects of Infant Mortality on Fertility Revisited: New Evidence from. En: Demography. Vol. 36; No. 1; pp. 41-58 | |
| dc.source | Filmer, Deon; Pritchett, Lant (2002) Environmental degradation and the demand for children: Searching for the. En: Environment and Development Economics. Vol. 7; pp. 123-146 | |
| dc.source | Biddlecom, Ann; Axinn, William; Barber, Jennifer (2005) Environmental Effects on Family Size Preferences and Subsequent. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 26; | |
| dc.source | Cain, Mead (1983) Fertility as an Adjustment to Risk. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 9; No. 4; pp. 688-702 | |
| dc.source | Carta, G; D'Alfonso, A; Colagrande, I; Catana, P; Casacchia, M; Patacchiola, F (2012) Post-earthquake birth-rate evaluation using the brief cope. En: The Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine. Vol. 25; No. 11; pp. 2411–2414 | |
| dc.source | Tong, Van; Zotti, Marianne; Hsia, Jason (2010) Impact of the Red River Catastrophic Flood on Women Giving Birth in North. En: Maternal and child health journal. Vol. 15; pp. 281-288 | |
| dc.source | Guarcello, Lorenzo; Mealli, Fabrizia; Rosati, Furio (2010) Household vulnerability and child labor: The effect of shocks, credit. En: Journal of Population Economics. Vol. 23; pp. 169-198 | |
| dc.source | Pörtner, Claus (2001) Children as Insurance. En: Journal of Population Economics. Vol. 14; No. 1; pp. 119-136 | |
| dc.source | Pörtner, Claus (2006) Gone With the Wind? Hurricane Risk, Fertility and Education. En: SSRN Electronic Journal. | |
| dc.source | Vail, K; Juhl, J; Arndt, J; Vess, M; Routledge, C; Rutjens, B (2012) When death is good for life: Considering the positive trajectories of. En: Personality and Social Psychology Review. Vol. 16; pp. 303-329 | |
| dc.source | Ferreira, F; Schady, N (2009) Aggregate economic shocks, child schooling, and child health. En: The World Bank Research Observer. Vol. 24; pp. 147–181 | |
| dc.source | Basu, Kaushik; Van, Pham (1998) The Economics of Child Labor. En: The American Economic Review. Vol. 88; No. 3; pp. 412-427 | |
| dc.source | Beegle, Kathleen; Dehejia, Rajeev; Gatti, Roberta (2006) Child Labour and Agricultural Shocks. En: Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 81; pp. 80-96 | |
| dc.source | Cain, Mead (1981) Risk and Insurance: Perspectives on Fertility and Agrarian Change in India. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 7; No. 3; pp. 435-474 | |
| dc.source | Eloundou-Enyegue, Parfait M; Stokes, C Shannon; Cornwell, Gretchen T (2000) Are There Crisis-Led Fertility Declines? Evidence from Central Cameroon. En: Population Research and Policy Review. Vol. 19; No. 1; pp. 47-72 | |
| dc.source | Kim, J; Prskawetz, Alexia (2009) External Shocks, Household Consumption and Fertility in Indonesia. En: Population Research and Policy Review. Vol. 29; | |
| dc.source | Schultz, Paul (1997) Demand for children in low income countries. En: Handbook of Population and Family Economics. Vol. 1; | |
| dc.source | Bongaarts, John; Feeney, Griffith (1998) On the Quantum and Tempo of Fertility. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 24; No. 2; pp. 271-291 | |
| dc.source | Lambin, E; Geist, H; Rindfuss, R (2006) Introduction: Local processes with global impacts. En: Land-use and land-cover change: Local processes and global impacts. pp. 1-8 | |
| dc.source | Cohan, Catherine; Cole, Steve (2002) Life course transitions and natural disaster: Marriage, birth, and divorce. En: Journal of Family Psychology. Vol. 16; pp. 14-25 | |
| dc.source | Birchenall, Javier; Soares, Rodrigo (2009) Altruism, fertility, and the value of children: Health policy evaluation. En: Journal of Public Economics. Vol. 93; pp. 280-295 | |
| dc.source | Portner, C (2014) Gone with the Wind? Hurricane Risk, Fertility, and Education. : Working Paper Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of; | |
| dc.source | Portner, C (2010) Natural Hazards and Child Health. : Working Paper Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of; | |
| dc.source | Kochar, Anjini (1999) Smoothing Consumption by Smoothing Income: Hours-of-Work Responses to. En: The Review of Economics and Statistics. Vol. 81; No. 1; pp. 50-61 | |
| dc.source | de la Mata, D; Valencia-Amaya, M (2014) The Health Impacts of Severe Climate Shocks in Colombia. : IDB Working Paper Series No. IDB-WP-498; | |
| dc.source | instname:Universidad del Rosario | |
| dc.source | reponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR | |
| dc.subject | Decisiones de fertilidad | |
| dc.subject | Embarazo | |
| dc.subject | Choques climáticos | |
| dc.subject | Inundaciones | |
| dc.title | Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia | |
| dc.type | bachelorThesis | |
