dc.creatorBarrales Ruiz, José
dc.creatorMendieta Muñoz, Ivan
dc.creatorRada, Codrina
dc.creatorTavani, Daniele
dc.creatorVon Arnim, Rudiger
dc.date2022-10-13T12:30:04Z
dc.date2022-10-13T12:30:04Z
dc.date2021
dc.identifierBarrales-Ruiz, J., Mendieta-Muñoz, I., Rada, C., Tavani, D., & von Arnim, R. (2022). The distributive cycle: Evidence and current debates. Journal of Economic Surveys, 36(2), 468-503. doi:10.1111/joes.12432
dc.identifier09500804
dc.identifierhttp://repositoriodigital.ucsc.cl/handle/25022009/2960
dc.descriptionArtículo de publicación SCOPUS - WOS
dc.descriptionThis paper surveys current debates on the distributive cycle. The literature builds on Goodwin's seminal 1967 chapter titled “A growth cycle.” We review theoretical motivations for the distributive cycle, which, despite significant differences, all imply that macroeconomic activity leads the labor share in a counterclockwise cycle in the activity-labor share plane. Subsequently, we summarize and update evidence on the existence of a distributive cycle, with a focus on the post-war U.S. macroeconomy. We analyze activity and labor share series and their interaction in the frequency domain, and also employ standard vector autoregressions. Results confirm the distributive cycle for the U.S. post-war period. We contextualize results vis-à-vis current debates: (1) we consider a financial cycle, to rebut the theoretical possibility of “pseudo-Goodwin” cycles, (2) demonstrate that a suppressed labor share and stagnation are compatible with short-run Goodwin cycles, and argue that this link presents the way forward for research on secular stagnation.
dc.languageen
dc.subjectDistributive cycle
dc.subjectNeo-Goodwin
dc.subjectU.S. labor share of income
dc.titleThe distributive cycle: Evidence and current debates
dc.typeArticle


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