Multivariate Threshold Models: TVARs and TVECMs
Multivariate Threshold Models: TVARs and TVECMs
dc.creator | Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. | |
dc.date | 2003-05-01 | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-11-03T21:18:04Z | |
dc.date.available | 2022-11-03T21:18:04Z | |
dc.identifier | https://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/2734 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/5047760 | |
dc.description | In this paper, I review recent developments on modelling macroeconomic variables with non-linear VARs. Specifically, the class of threshold VARs, including systems with threshold cointegration, is discussed. Techniques for specification, estimation, testing, computing impulse responses and forecasting are presented, including hints for practitioners. In addition, I analyze recent results on the evaluation of this class of models, providing guidance on the application of these models. Finally, a TVAR is applied to extract the information of the spread to predict recessions; and a TVECM is employed to test threshold cointegration in the context of the term structure of interest rates. | en-US |
dc.description | Nesse artigo, eu faço uma resenha sobre as contribuições recentes em modelagem de variáveis macroeconômicas usando modelos VAR não-lineares. Especificamente, os modelos chamados "Threshold VAR" são discutidos, além de modelos que permitam "threshold cointegration". Técnicas para estimar, especificar, testar, calcular funções de impulso-resposta, e prever são apresentadas, incluindo algumas dicas para pesquisadores. Além disso, eu analiso os resultados da avaliação desses modelos realizados recentemente, de forma a orientar a aplicação desses modelos. Finalmente, um TVAR é aplicado para extrair informação do spread para prever recessões e um TVECM é empregado para testar "threshold cointegration" no contexto da estrutura a termo da taxa de juros. | pt-BR |
dc.format | application/pdf | |
dc.language | eng | |
dc.publisher | Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria | en-US |
dc.relation | https://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/2734/1674 | |
dc.source | Brazilian Review of Econometrics; Vol. 23 No. 1 (2003); 143-171 | en-US |
dc.source | Brazilian Review of Econometrics; v. 23 n. 1 (2003); 143-171 | pt-BR |
dc.source | 1980-2447 | |
dc.subject | threshold vector autoregressive models | en-US |
dc.subject | threshold co integration . | en-US |
dc.subject | C32 | en-US |
dc.subject | E37 | en-US |
dc.subject | threshold vector autoregressive models | pt-BR |
dc.subject | threshold co integration . | pt-BR |
dc.subject | C32 | pt-BR |
dc.subject | E37 | pt-BR |
dc.title | Multivariate Threshold Models: TVARs and TVECMs | en-US |
dc.title | Multivariate Threshold Models: TVARs and TVECMs | pt-BR |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |