masterThesis
Avaliação dos impactos do programa bolsa família na renda, na educação e no mercado de trabalho das famílias pobres do Brasil
Fecha
2013-02-28Registro en:
CAVALCANTI, Daniella Medeiros. Avaliação dos impactos do programa bolsa família na renda,
na educação e no mercado de trabalho das famílias pobres do Brasil. 2013. 74 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Economia Regional) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, 2013.
Autor
Cavalcanti, Daniella Medeiros
Resumen
This study aims to verify the impact of the Bolsa Família Program (BFP) in income and school
attendance of poor Brazilian families. It is intended to also check the existence of a possible
negative effect of the program on the labor market, titled as sloth effect. For such, microdata from
the IBGE Census sample in 2010 were used. Seeking to purge possible selection biases,
methodology of Quantilic Treatment Effect (QTE) was applied, in particular the estimator proposed
by Firpo (2007), which assumes an exogenous and non-conditional treatment. Moreover, Foster-
Greer-Thorbecke (FGT) index was calculated to check if there are fewer households below the
poverty line, as well as if the inequality among the poor decreases. Human Opportunity Index (HOI)
was also calculated to measure the access of young people / children education. Results showed that
BFP has positively influenced the family per capita income and education (number of children aged
5-17 years old attending school). As for the labor market (worked hours and labor income), the
program showed a negative effect. Thus, when compared with not benefiting families, those
families who receive the BFP have: a) a higher family income (due to the shock of the transfer
budget money) b) more children attending school (due to the conditionality imposed by the
program); c) less worked hours (due to sloth effect in certain family groups) and d) a lower income
from work. All these effects were potentiated separating the sample in the five Brazilian regions,
being observed that the BFP strongly influenced the Northeast, showing a greater decrease in
income inequality and poverty, and at the same time, achieved a greater negative impact on the
labor market