A Framework to study Antifragility for Enterprise Risk Management: Case Study of Unconventional Oil and Gas Operations in Latin America

dc.contributorHernández Losada, Diego Fernando
dc.creatorBravo Mendoza, Oscar
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-31T16:08:14Z
dc.date.available2021-05-31T16:08:14Z
dc.date.created2021-05-31T16:08:14Z
dc.date.issued2021-04-13
dc.identifierhttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/79574
dc.identifierUniversidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifierRepositorio Institucional Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.identifierhttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/
dc.description.abstractThis research builds on the most recent organizational resilience theories to elaborate heuristic tests to prove the antifragility concept, the last defined step for companies to cope with VUCA (Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous). Given its novelty, the body of knowledge regarding antifragility is weak. There are only a few definitions and attributes to describe antifragility at the organizational level and a total absence of real firm cases, theory, and hypotheses research. The antifragility concept offers new management and risk assessment tools to organizations eager to survive and take advantage of the new opportunities that unfold behind the threat of uncertainty. Antifragility goes beyond business continuity and resilience by focusing on the firms' ability to deliver products and services at acceptable levels after a disruptive event and taking advantage of the upside risk involved in uncertainty to improve performance and foster innovation and growth. This study's main contribution is defining proper metrics to identify and rank the organizational resilience level after an extreme event and define a framework to describe the selected antifragile companies' common attributes and competencies. The results from this study will serve as the basis for organizations that struggle to operate in VUCA and are exposed to surprising, extreme events, also known as Black Swans. Additionally, the proposed antifragility framework and measurement system will also strengthen the risk assessment and management disciplines.
dc.description.abstractEsta investigación se basa en la literatura más reciente en materia de resiliencia organizacional, para probar de manera heurística el concepto de antifragilidad, el último paso definido para que las empresas puedan desempeñarse en ambientes VICA (Volatilidad, Incertidumbres, Complejidad y Ambigüedad). La antifragilidad es un concepto nuevo, para el cual el estado del arte es deficiente. Existen solamente algunas definiciones y atributos en la literatura que permiten describirla a nivel organizacional, y una total ausencia de casos de estudio de empresas, que permitan la generación de hipótesis y teorías de investigación. El concepto de antifragilidad ofrece nuevas herramientas para las organizaciones que requieren sobrevivir y poder aprovechar las oportunidades que subyacen los temores por la incertidumbre. La antifragilidad va más allá de la continuidad del negocio y la resiliencia al enfocarse en la capacidad de las empresas para entregar productos y servicios con niveles aceptables de calidad luego de un evento disruptivo, aprovechando las posibilidades que brinda la incertidumbre para mejorar el desempeño e incrementar la innovación y el crecimiento. Las principales contribuciones de este trabajo son la definición de indicadores que permiten identificar y clasificar las empresas de acuerdo a su capacidad de resiliencia luego de un evento extremo, así como la definición de un marco de referencia que incorpora los principales atributos que caracterizan a las empresas antifrágiles. Los hallazgos de este estudio permitirán soportar a las empresas que deben enfrentan los retos de un ambiente VICA y están expuestas a riesgos emergentes y eventos extremos, también conocidos como Cisnes Negros. Así mismo, el marco de referencia y los esquemas de medición propuestos permitirán fortalecer las disciplinas de gestión de riesgos y administración de empresas.
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherUniversidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.publisherBogotá - Ingeniería - Doctorado en Ingeniería - Industria y Organizaciones
dc.publisherDepartamento de Ingeniería de Sistemas e Industrial
dc.publisherFacultad de Ingeniería
dc.publisherBogotá
dc.publisherUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Bogotá
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dc.rightsAtribución-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/4.0/
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.titleA Framework to study Antifragility for Enterprise Risk Management: Case Study of Unconventional Oil and Gas Operations in Latin America
dc.typeTrabajo de grado - Doctorado


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