Planejamento da expansão do sistema de distribuição através da simulação de alternativas e análise multicritério

Abstract

The Decision-making in the activities in the electricity sector is an exercise considered indispensable to achieve the strategic objectives of the companies, especially with regard to medium and large investments aiming effective solutions of short, medium and long term for the power system. In this respect, decision-making methodologies are used at different levels of planning within any company in the industry. The electricity distribution companies, due to its large amount of assets and large concession areas, face these problems daily, in programming of maintenance activities, service in contingencies, expansion, among others. With regard to the planning of the system expansion, among the problems of charging voltage level equipment and the MT network, there are a number of solutions that may be analyzed and determined in accordance with cost-benefit. Glimpsing determine properly and optimally the best solutions for a given electrical system, this paper proposes the use of AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) to aid decision making and prioritization of works. The methodology allows encompass qualitative and quantitative criteria, based on the opinion of experts and statistical data. Among the criteria considered for the application of the methodology are the operating gain of the work with respect to technical losses, loading of the cables of the feeders, voltage level indicators and continuity of electricity supply, as well as physical and financial aspects related to extension feeders and total cost of the work. The technical results of each proposed solution are simulated by Interplan® software, which performs the power flow calculations by BFS methodology (Backward Forward Sweep), widely used in radial systems of power distribution. Based on the definition of these criteria, can be determined by applying the AHP the best solution for a given region. Among the alternatives of works are the installation of new equipment, renovation of networks, construction of new feeders and substations. The main contribution of this work is the possibility of using the model developed for other cases that have the same objective, through the adoption of standard criteria.