Tesis
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil
Fecha
2017-03-06Autor
Silva, Vinícius Radetzke da
Institución
Resumen
The development of the Free Energy Market in Brazil gained considerable importance due to
a series of recent transformations in Brazilian politics. For a long time, investments were not
made in this sector, causing a delay in the energy matrix of Brazil. As a result, the
government sought an alternative to change the sector’s deficit, attract new investors and
promote capitalist price competition. The regulation provided by law aimed at framing Brazil
in the policy of the free market of energy, giving the freedom of companies to fit in
requirements that allow to consume electricity of other generating companies, either by means
of celebration of exclusive contracts, called captives, or by buying at auctions of competition
managed by legislators of the sector and also by the leftover market energy, called the free
market spot. In this way, this study aimed to present the development of the Brazilian Free
Energy Market and to make a comparison between the forecast of the average prices of the
settlement of energy differences (PLD) and the values sold in the second half of 2015. For this
purpose, From May of 2003 to June of 2015. The study was developed through
bibliographical research, of the exploratory and quantitative type. The data were obtained
with the aid of information from the Electric Energy Trading Chamber through a time series
of the PLD in the free market of electric energy. For the prediction, the multiplicative Holt
Winters method was the best fit, among the models studied, to the PLD values, and can be
used as a basic reference for consumers and/or power generators related to production
scheduling, representing the Reducing costs and providing increased competitiveness for
products and services that are produced per hour.