Artículos de revistas
How sensitive is corporate debt to swings in commodity prices?
Fecha
2017Registro en:
Journal of Financial Stability, Volumen 39,
15723089
10.1016/j.jfs.2017.10.002
Autor
Donders, Pablo
Barría Jara, Mauricio Adrián
Wagner, Rodrigo
Institución
Resumen
© 2017 Elsevier B.V.Commodity producing corporations have trillions of dollars in outstanding debt. Thus, the recent fall in commodity prices raised concerns about sustainability and systemic risks. Using a global sample (2003- 2015) we measure how corporate bonds react to the underlying commodity price. On average a 10% change in the commodity moves yields-to-maturity by only 15 basis points. This is just a tenth of the sensitivity of stocks returns. Nonetheless, bond sensitivity to commodities is significantly stronger for smaller, leveraged and less profitable firms. Also for short maturity bonds. The type of commodity price change matters too. Sensitivity to price drops is at least five times stronger than to increases. Transitory price changes matter for shorter maturities and leveraged firms. In contrast, longer maturities react more to permanent commodity variations. When firms use hedging derivatives, bonds are less sensitive to all price variations. Hedging mitigates the ampli