| dc.description.abstract | Sub-Saharan African countries as a group showed a considerable reduction in public and external
indebtedness in the early 2000s as a result of debt relief programs, higher economic growth and
improved fiscal management for some countries. More recently, however, vulnerabilities in some
countries are on the rise, including a few with very rapid debt accumulation. This paper looks at
the heterogeneous experiences across Sub-Saharan African countries and the detailed dynamics
that have driven changes in public debt since the global financial crisis. Borrowing to support
fiscal deficits since 2009, including through domestic markets and Eurobond issuance, has driven
a net increase in public debt for all countries except oil exporters benefitting from buoyant
commodity prices and fragile states receiving post-2008 HIPC relief. Current account deficits and
FDI inflows drove the external debt dynamics, with high balance of payments problems associated
with very rapid external debt accumulation in some cases. Pockets of increasing vulnerabilities of
debt financing profiles and sensitivity of debt burden indicators to macro-fiscal shocks require
close monitoring. Specific risks that policy-makers in Sub-Saharan Africa need to pay attention to
going forward include the recent fall in oil prices, the slowdown in China and the sluggish recovery
in Europe, dependence on non-debt creating flows and accounting for contingent liabilities | |
