workingPaper
Does the market model provide a good counterfactual for event studies in finance?
Autor
Castro, Carlos
Institución
Resumen
We provide a common framework that relates traditional event study estimation methods in finance with a modern approach for causal event studies. This framework is called synthetic portfolio and is a particular case of synthetic control methods. We provide a simulation exercise and an empirical application to evaluate the performance of the method. In addition, synthetic control methods provides a reliable framework, for test based on the abnormal returns, that overcomes some difficulties in the traditional test. We conclude that the market model provides a counterfactual as good as a synthetic control.