dc.contributorDr. Belen Villalonga-Morenés
dc.contributorDr.Francisco Venegas-Martínez
dc.contributorDr.Luis García-Calderón Díaz
dc.contributorDr.Alejandro Ibarra-Yúnez
dc.creatorMota Aragón, Martha B.
dc.date2015-08-17T11:36:28Z
dc.date2015-08-17T11:36:28Z
dc.date2006-12-01
dc.date.accessioned2018-03-16T18:27:36Z
dc.date.available2018-03-16T18:27:36Z
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11285/572610
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/1211606
dc.descriptionThe main contribution of this dissertation is focused on the Capital Investments Theory that influences on Real Option Theory. My Ph.D Thesis asserts that net cash flow (NCF) and the interest rate (rt) of a investment project are stochastic processes. A new model of mean reversion for the NCF administration named “Vasicek extended” is made, among others; the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model for interest rate is considered. A fundamental contribution to this thesis is considering external control variables (Zt) which modify the Net Cash Flow trajectory. To the system of dynamic variables is joined Vector Autoregressive VAR(l) which captures the dynamic interaction of the control variables used by the council administration. We work through from a continuous to a discrete version. Then is explained NPV from my new point of view. The modified NPV(Zt) this gives a more accurate value for valuating VPN(Zt) +<�, � is the real option, therefore we see a step forward on the topic. There is a complete analysis for the discrete case and therefore a complete methodology for applying these ideas to any enterprise in any country. This methodology is applied to the Mexican case, particularly to large enterprises which are listed in the Mexican Stock Market and a taxonomy to get a classification of their situation derivates from it. We arrive 9 naturally possible cases and any enterprise is classified into one of them. The general model are estimated for 69 large enterprises and it shows where every enterprise is located over its corresponding quadrant, this also results as a map allowing having a clear panorama about industrial situation in Mexico. Through the thesis development, we enter upon the information asymmetry notion to obtain the “news cash flow curve” applied to the NCF profit as another contribution. An application on 69 large enterprises listed in the Mexican Stock Market is made.
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherInstituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectCapital Investments Theory
dc.subjectReal Options
dc.subjectNet Present Value
dc.subjectNet Cash Flow
dc.subjectStochastic Processes
dc.subjectVector Autoregressive (VAR)
dc.subjectGeneralized Autoregressive
dc.subjectConditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)
dc.subjectAsymmetric Information
dc.subjectMexican Stock Market
dc.subjectMexico
dc.subjectNegocios y Economía / Business & Economics
dc.titleNet Cash Flow Analysis as Stochastic Processes Theory Application and the Real Options Theory: A New Approach-Edición Única
dc.typeTesis


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