Two practical rules for forecasting the number of flares in an active region
Two practical rules for forecasting the number of flares in an active region
| dc.creator | Ferro Ramos, I.; Institute of Geophysics and Astronomy, Institute of Mathematics, Cuban Academy of Sciences, Havana, Cuba. | |
| dc.creator | López Reyes, N.; Institute of Geophysics and Astronomy, Institute of Mathematics, Cuban Academy of Sciences, Havana, Cuba. | |
| dc.date | 2012-08-02 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2018-03-16T15:51:57Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2018-03-16T15:51:57Z | |
| dc.identifier | http://ojs.unam.mx/index.php/geofisica/article/view/39472 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/1203157 | |
| dc.description | Mediante el empleo de técnicas de reconocimiento de patrones y sobre la base de relaciones previas, se formulan dos reglas prácticas y un criterio suficiente para pronosticar el número de destellos en una región activa. Se demuestra que la verosimilitud del método es superior a la del mejor pronóstico trivial, y para cada caso, se evalúa el porciento de pronósticos correctos o su efectividad. Se muestra que estas reglas, basadas en la informatividad de las variables, son independientes de la fase del ciclo. | es-ES |
| dc.description | Employing pattern recognition methods and on the basis of previous relations, two practical rules and a suffient criterion are formulated for forecasting the number of flares in an active region. It is demonstrated that the likelihood of the method is superior to the best trivial forecast and for each case the percentage of correct forecasts or its effectivity is evaluated. It is shown that these rules, based upon the informativity of the variables, are independent of the phase of the cycle. | en-US |
| dc.format | application/pdf | |
| dc.language | spa | |
| dc.publisher | Instituto de Geofísica | es-ES |
| dc.relation | http://ojs.unam.mx/index.php/geofisica/article/view/39472/35906 | |
| dc.source | Geofísica Internacional; Vol 31, No 2 (1992) | es-ES |
| dc.source | 0016-7169 | |
| dc.subject | Destellos solares, ciclo solar. | es-ES |
| dc.subject | Solar flares, solar cycle. | en-US |
| dc.title | Two practical rules for forecasting the number of flares in an active region | es-ES |
| dc.title | Two practical rules for forecasting the number of flares in an active region | en-US |
| dc.type | Artículos de revistas | |
| dc.type | Artículos de revistas |