Predicting Stock prices in Latin America using Associative Deep Neural Networks

Abstract

The stock market is a critical sector of the global economy, and predicting stock prices is of great interest to investors and companies. However, the movements of the market are volatile, non-linear, and complicated. This topic has attracted the attention of researchers, who have proposed formal models that demonstrate accurate predictions can be made with appropriate variables and techniques. Deep learning algorithms are often used for this purpose due to their superior accuracy in time series-based and complex pattern analysis. This paper proposes to predict the opening, closing, highest, and lowest stock prices of select Latin American market indexes using associative deep neural networks that can simultaneously predict related values based on the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) technique, known for its high accuracy in this area. As well as using classic econometric methods for the analysis of time series such as ARIMA models. The proposed model achieved a good performance in terms of prediction, which in turn allows finding interesting trading opportunities for investors. The results of the models were measured using the average RMSE of the predicted prices metric and compared with those obtained using a naive model.