| dc.creator | Mora Murillo,Moisés Filiberto | |
| dc.creator | Mora Murillo,Walter Alfredo | |
| dc.creator | Pandey,Digvijay | |
| dc.date | 2020-12-01 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-09-25T15:19:05Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-09-25T15:19:05Z | |
| dc.identifier | http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1390-65422020000400101 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/8825082 | |
| dc.description | Abstract In Ecuador, in the Santo Domingo de los Tsáchilas province, a Special Operations Committee (SOC) was created to take containment measures against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2). This research deals with an analysis of the possible spread of the SARS-COV-2 virus causing the infectious disease caused by new coronavirus (2019-nCoV) using the Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Recovered (SEIR) model as a prediction method according to the rigor of the containment measures evaluated. with the acceptability of people through a survey (95 %, CI) in which three parameters (α) severity of containment measures, (k) social impact of the pandemic and (β) transmission rate, are determined, which we then used as β (t) with initial value of β = 1. All this considering the rapid proliferation of the virus in the province and having an average of α = 3.23 (95 % CI: 3 - 4) and for k = 4.10 (95 % CI: 4 - 5) that the authorities will use to mitigate the spread of the virus, as well as future outbreaks of the disease. | |
| dc.format | text/html | |
| dc.language | en | |
| dc.publisher | Universidad UTE | |
| dc.relation | 10.29019/enfoqueute.v11n4.678 | |
| dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | |
| dc.source | Enfoque UTE v.11 n.4 2020 | |
| dc.subject | SARS-CoV-2 | |
| dc.subject | Corona virus | |
| dc.subject | Modeling | |
| dc.subject | Simulation | |
| dc.subject | transmissible, SEIR | |
| dc.title | Efficient Prediction and Analysis of the possible evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 in COVID-19 applying the SEIR model in Santo Domingo de los Tsáchilas, Ecuador | |
| dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | |
