Caso grupo EPM - sostenibilidad financiera

Abstract

Empresas Públicas de Medellín E. S. P. (EPM) is a State industrial company in which the municipality of Medellín has a 100% stake. In turn, as the owner or majority shareholder of different national and international companies, it consolidates its financial information with the corporate name Grupo EPM. Within the scope of its strategic growth, EPM signed a framework agreement in 2007 to define its relations with the municipality of Medellín under regulatory criteria, and in the same year created the code of good governance, which extended to its subsidiaries to transmit confidence to investors and lenders; likewise, since 2009, EPM has issued international bonds. Therefore, the signing of multilateral agreements, national and international loans and the issuance of national and international bonds forces it to comply with covenants. Taking into account the participation of the State in the group´s decisions and that this is an important source of income for government plans, this case study addresses the financial sustainability of the company by analyzing the financial statements from the perspective of the CFA Institute and the estimation of the probability of bankruptcy or insolvency using the Ohlson and the Z-score models. In addition, to understand not only the company´s history but also its possible permanence in the long term, qualitative variables such as corporate governance, debt ratings and relevant information provided by the group to Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia are taken into account.