| dc.description.abstract | The purpose of this study is to analyze the determinants of electoral participation in Ecuador
in the General Elections of 2021, for the two hundred and twenty-one cantons and in a
scenario of health, economic and social crisis due to Covid 19; for this purpose, a quantitative
methodology using a probit model is used to study the impact of economic, political and social
conditions based on theories that study electoral participation and behavior, also incorporating
the number of deaths due to Covid, as a variable that explains the impact of the pandemic.
For this purpose, a series of econometric tests are developed that allow us to test the
hypotheses of mobilization, modernization and electoral competition; the results allow us to
conclude that factors that measure the economic environment and the impact of the pandemic
had an impact on the percentages of electoral participation, considered by recognized
scholars as an essential element to measure the quality of democracy. Finally, and after
proving the significance of the mobilizing hypothesis, especially for cantons such as Quito and
Guayaquil, the "democratic resilience" is corroborated, on the one hand, of the electoral body
and, on the other hand, of the Ecuadorian voters who went to vote. Likewise, it is observed
that the electoral competition does not represent a mobilizing element before the exercise of
the vote. | |
