dc.creatorCoulter, Jarod
dc.creatorDuncan, Roberto
dc.creatorMartínez-García, Enrique
dc.date2022-10-03T16:47:05Z
dc.date2022-10-03T21:18:36Z
dc.date2022-10-03T16:47:05Z
dc.date2022-10-03T21:18:36Z
dc.date2022-08-01
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-09T01:58:20Z
dc.date.available2023-03-09T01:58:20Z
dc.identifierhttps://revistas.pucp.edu.pe/index.php/economia/article/view/25654/24153
dc.identifierhttps://repositorio.pucp.edu.pe/index/handle/123456789/186810
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.18800/economia.202201.005
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/6001150
dc.descriptionOne major outcome of the Federal Reserve’s 2019–20 framework review was the adoption of a Flexible Average Inflation Targeting (FAIT) strategy in August 2020. Using synthetic control methods, we document that U.S. inflation rose post-FAIT considerably more than predicted had the strategy not changed (an average of 1.18 percentage points during 2020:M8–2022:M2). To explore the extent to which targeting average inflation delayed the Fed’s response and contributed to post-FAIT inflation, we adopt a version of the open-economy New Keynesian model in Martínez-García (2021) and document the economic consequences of adopting alternative measures of average inflation as policy objectives. We document three additional major findings using this general equilibrium setup: First, depending on how far back and how much weight is assigned to past inflation misses, the policy outcomes under FAIT are similar to those under the pre-FAIT regime. Secondly, we find that the implementation of FAIT can have large effects over short periods of time as it tends to delay action. However, over longer periods of time—such as the 1984:Q1–2019:Q4 pre-FAIT period—its effects wash out and appear negligible. Finally, we find that di˙erent average inflation measures explain an average of 0.5 percentage points per quarter of the post-FAIT inflation surge, indicating that targeting average inflation by itself can only explain part of the inflation spike since August 2020.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherPontificia Universidad Católica del Perú
dc.publisherPE
dc.relationurn:issn:2304-4306
dc.relationurn:issn:0254-4415
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
dc.sourceEconomía; Volume 45 Issue 89 (2022): Recent Developments in Inflation Dynamics
dc.subjectOpen-economy New Keynesian model
dc.subjectMonetary policy
dc.subjectFlexible average inflation targeting
dc.subjectFlexible inflation targeting
dc.subjectSurvey
dc.subjecthttps://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.01
dc.titleFlexible Average Inflation Targeting: How Much Is U.S. Monetary Policy Changing?
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeArtículo


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