Perú | info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.creatorMartínez, Jefferson
dc.creatorRodríguez, Gabriel
dc.date2021-05-05T21:41:44Z
dc.date2021-05-05T21:41:44Z
dc.date2020-02
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-08T20:47:09Z
dc.date.available2023-03-08T20:47:09Z
dc.identifierhttp://repositorio.pucp.edu.pe/index/handle/123456789/176224
dc.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.18800/2079-8474.0483
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/5975513
dc.descriptionDocumento de trabajo; 483
dc.descriptionThis paper quantifies and assesses the impact of an adverse loan supply (LS) shock on Peruís main macroeconomic aggregates using a Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) model in combination with an identification scheme with sign restrictions. The main results indicate that an adverse LS shock: (i) reduces credit and real GDP growth by 372 and 75 basis points in the impact period, respectively; (ii) explains 11.2% of real GDP growth variability on average over the following 20 quarters; and (iii) explained a 180-basis point fall in real GDP growth on average during 2009Q1- 2010Q1 in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Additionally, the sensitivity analysis shows that the results are robust to alternative identiÖcation schemes with sign restrictions; and that an adverse LS shock has a greater impact on non-primary real GDP growth.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherPontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía
dc.publisherPE
dc.relationurn:issn:2079-8466
dc.relationurn:issn:2079-8474
dc.rightsAtribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 2.5 Perú
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/pe/
dc.subjectBanking System
dc.subjectLoan Supply Shock
dc.subjectBayesian Autoregressive Vector Model
dc.subjectSign Restrictions
dc.subjectPeruvian Economy
dc.subjecthttp://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.00
dc.titleMacroeconomic Effects of Loan Supply Shocks: Empirical Evidence for Peru
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
dc.typeDocumento de trabajo


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