Inflation Dynamics in Brazil: The Case of a Small Open Economy

dc.creatorAreosa, Waldyr Dutra
dc.creatorMedeiros, Marcelo
dc.date2007-05-01
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-03T21:17:53Z
dc.date.available2022-11-03T21:17:53Z
dc.identifierhttps://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1575
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/5047711
dc.descriptionThis paper derives and estimates a structural model for inflation in an open economy. The model represents the standard new-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) and the hybrid curve proposed by Woodford (2003) and Gal´ı and Gertler (1999) as special cases. We present two sets of estimates for the Brazilian economy, initially regarded as a closed economy and then as a small open economy. According to the recent literature, the model contemplates indexation to past inflation and a measure of marginal cost as relevant inflation indicators. Some of the results can be summarized as follows: (i) Brazil, when regarded as a closed economy, has a relatively higher level of nominal rigidity than that of the United States and Europe, and a high level of indexation as well; (ii) In an open economy with indexation, nominal exchange rate appreciation plus foreign inflation affects consumer inflation, and this effect becomes more intense with larger economic openness; (iii) There is a small direct impact of the variables associated with economic openness, with the sum of their coefficients being close to zero; (iv) However, the indirect impact is significant, consistently changing the weights associated with lagged inflation and the expected future inflation.en-US
dc.descriptionThis paper derives and estimates a structural model for inflation in an open economy. The model represents the standard new-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) and the hybrid curve proposed by Woodford (2003) and Gal´ı and Gertler (1999) as special cases. We present two sets of estimates for the Brazilian economy, initially regarded as a closed economy and then as a small open economy. According to the recent literature, the model contemplates indexation to past inflation and a measure of marginal cost as relevant inflation indicators. Some of the results can be summarized as follows: (i) Brazil, when regarded as a closed economy, has a relatively higher level of nominal rigidity than that of the United States and Europe, and a high level of indexation as well; (ii) In an open economy with indexation, nominal exchange rate appreciation plus foreign inflation affects consumer inflation, and this effect becomes more intense with larger economic openness; (iii) There is a small direct impact of the variables associated with economic openness, with the sum of their coefficients being close to zero; (iv) However, the indirect impact is significant, consistently changing the weights associated with lagged inflation and the expected future inflation.pt-BR
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.languageeng
dc.languagepor
dc.publisherSociedade Brasileira de Econometriaen-US
dc.relationhttps://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1575/1020
dc.relationhttps://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1575/1021
dc.sourceBrazilian Review of Econometrics; Vol. 27 No. 1 (2007); 131-166en-US
dc.sourceBrazilian Review of Econometrics; v. 27 n. 1 (2007); 131-166pt-BR
dc.source1980-2447
dc.titleInflation Dynamics in Brazil: The Case of a Small Open Economyen-US
dc.titleInflation Dynamics in Brazil: The Case of a Small Open Economypt-BR
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


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