dc.creatorde Oliveira, Sandra Cristina
dc.creatorRodrigues de Amorim, Fernando
dc.creatorCeron Barbosa, Cássio
dc.creatorGalvez de Andrade, Alequexandre
dc.creatorDel Giorgio Solfa, Federico
dc.date2022-09-23
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-16T23:03:48Z
dc.date.available2022-10-16T23:03:48Z
dc.identifierhttps://digital.cic.gba.gob.ar/handle/11746/11674
dc.identifierhttps://redfame.com/journal/index.php/ijsss/article/view/5688
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/4414041
dc.descriptionThe costs of agricultural inputs added to those of labor represent almost a third of the total cost of Brazilian sugarcane production. This study analyzes the behavior of the price per ton of sugarcane in Brazil, relating it to the main production costs of this cultivation. Twelve price indicators from January 2015 to December 2020 were evaluated. First, the data were adjusted to a multiple linear regression model to identify the significant variables on variation in the price per ton of sugarcane. Then, the Monte Carlo simulation was used to measure the level of certainty of occurrence of these variables, and forecasts were obtained from the adjustment of ARIMA models. The results showed the influence of the costs of diesel oil, two agricultural pesticides, and daily laborers on the price of sugarcane, besides an increasing trend of its, providing relevant short-term projections for decision-making about investments in the agribusiness sector.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.format15-27
dc.languageInglés
dc.relationhdl:10915/142724
dc.relationdoi:10.11114/ijsss.v10i6.5688
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
dc.subjectEconomía y Negocios
dc.subjectBrazilian agribusiness
dc.subjectsugarcane production
dc.subjectlinear regression
dc.subjectMonte Carlo simulation
dc.subjectARIMA models
dc.titleEffect of Production Costs on the Price per Ton of Sugarcane: The Case of Brazil


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