Emergência da síndrome cardiopulmonar por hantavírus em Mato Grosso: aspectos epidemiológicos e clínicos durante o período de 1999-2010.

Abstract

The present study it has for objective to analyze the clinical characteristics and epidemiologists of the SCPH in the State of Mato Grosso in the period of 1999 the 2010, using statistical analyses as tools to identify such characteristics and to make possible to the professionals and managers of health of the State tools to instrumentalizar them in the monitoramento, prevention and control of the illness. The statistical analyses had been carried through in the SPSS version 15.0, being that for the statistical analyses bivaried and multivaried of mortality they had been carried through by the test of the qui-square, already the space data had been constructed in the Land View 3,14 and the modeling for prediction of SCPH cases used the model of Holt-Winters. The work is presented in three articles. In the first article one was analyzed occasions of SCPH occurred in the Aboriginal Park of the Xingú. In as the article, the statistical techniques bivaried and multivaried had been used to identify the 0 variable that had had significance statistics for the death for SCPH in Mato Grosso. No longer third article, used it inferencial technique of secular series to foresee the number of case of SCPH in the regions average north, extremity north and for the State of Mato Grosso in the years of 2011 and 2012. It was concluded that the occurrence of one I occasion in aboriginal area in Mato Grosso, excites the necessity of quarrels on action of monitoring in health, as well as studies for the Brazilian aboriginal population that inhabits in areas of circulation of hantavírus. The use of analyses bivaried and multivaried for the significance identification statistics for death for SCPH in Mato Grosso, revealed an important resource in the understanding of the natural history of the SCPH, mainly in what it refers to mortality. The results of the modeling statistics of secular series show that the model of Holt-Winters is adjusted to carry through these predictions and that such