masterThesis
Contabilidade do crescimento pelo lado da demanda agregada: uma proposta de cálculo das contribuições ao crescimento pela demanda agregada para o Brasil de, 2000 a 2009, utilizando matrizes insumo-produto
Fecha
2014-09-29Registro en:
PASSONI, Patieene Alves. Contabilidade do crescimento pelo lado da demanda agregada: uma proposta de cálculo das contribuições ao crescimento pela demanda agregada para o Brasil de, 2000 a 2009, utilizando matrizes insumo-produto. 2014. 120f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Economia) - Centro de Ciências Sociais Aplicadas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, 2014.
Autor
Passoni, Patieene Alves
Resumen
The demand side growth accounting studies the demand aggregate component contributions in
the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Traditionally, international and national organizations that
uses the traditional method for calculating such contributions. However, this method does not
take into account the effect the induction of imports by the various components of aggregate
demand on the calculation of these. As an alternative to this method are presented others studies
that consider this effect, as the alternative method proposed by Lara (2013), the attribution
method, proposed by Kranendonk and Verbruggen (2005) and Hoekstra and van der Helm
(2010), and the method the sraffian supermultiplier, by Freitas and Dweck (2013). Was made a
summary of these methods, demonstrating the similarities and differences between them. Also,
in the aim to contribute to the study of the subject was developed the “method of distribution
of imports” that aims to distribute imports for the various components of aggregate demand,
through the information set forth in the input-output matrices and tables of resources and uses.
Were accounted the contributions to the growth of macroeconomic aggregates for Brazil from
2001 to 2009 using the method of distribution, and realized comparison with the traditional
method, understanding the reasons for the differences in contributions. Later was done
comparisons with all the methods presented in this work, between the calculated contributions
to the growth of the components of aggregate demand and the domestic and external sectors.
Was verified that the methods that exist in the literature was not enough to deal with this
question, and given the alternatives for contributions to the growth presented throughout this
work, it is believed that the method of distribution provides the best estimates for the account
of contributions by aggregate demand sector. In particular, the main advantage of this method
to the others is the breakdown of the contribution of imports, separated by aggregate demand
component, which allows the analysis of contribution of each component to GDP growth. Thus,
this type of analysis helps to study the pattern of growth of the Brazilian economy, not just the
theoretical point of view, but also empirical and basis for the decision to economic policies