Análisis del riesgo de reincidencia desde el modelo RNR en una muestra de población pospenada en Colombia

Abstract

The main objective of this research was to determine the relationship between Risk-Need-Responsivity (RNR) risk factors model and criminal recidivism in a sample of Colombian exconvicts. To achieve this objective, a mixed-type methodology was developed, combining a comparative design and a cross-sectional predictive design. A total of 150 Colombian exconvicts were involved, who were given an in-depth interview to collect the risk factors of the RNR model and four psychological assessment tools (The Symptom Checklist – SCL-90R, The Self-Concept form 5 – AF5, The International Personality Disorder Examination - IPDE and The Multidimensional Scale of Perceived Social Support - MSSPSS). The processing of the data was carried out through the R statistical software, where descriptive and frequency analyses were performed for the study variables, measures of association and independence between categorical variables, comparative analysis between repeat offenders and non-repeat offenders, and a regression and classification tree to establish the predictive relationship between the variables. It was obtained as the main results the statistically significant difference between repeat offenders and non-repeat offenders in the global severity index of SCL-90R, in IPDE limit personality disorder, and in the dimensions of depression and positive symptom distress index of SCL-90R; the association between self-reported recidivism with the eight major factors of the RNR model; the association between self-reported recidivism and 25 of the 32 sub-categories of RNR model risk factors, and identification as a predictor of criminal recidivism of the global severity index of SCL-90R.