bachelorThesis
Factores socioeconómicos y variables de disuasión que explican la criminalidad en Colombia entre el 2010 y 2017
Fecha
2020Registro en:
364.9861 A662
Autor
Arango Sandoval, Sara
Restrepo Orrego, Carolina
Institución
Resumen
This paper is an empirical application of the Becker-Ehrlich model, to determine some factors that influence the crime rate in the municipalities of Colombia and contribute to the crime economics studies carried out in the country. Based on panel data for municipalities of Colombia from 2010 to 2017, the determinants of crime rates were estimated using a fixed effects model where the cross-sectional units are municipalities and temporary units the years. The main variables of interest were those that conceptually approximate the Becker-Ehrlich model: the catch rate (associated with deterrence and probability of capture), and the industry tax payment rate (associated with the economic dynamics of the municipality, which serve as a proxy for the opportunity cost of going to the legal labor market). The specification of fixed effects manages to control municipal idiosyncratic characteristics that do not vary over time (such as culture), and annual shocks common to all municipalities (such as changes in national public policies). In general, these results are relevant to guiding future investigations into economics crime and serve to make several policy recommendations that contribute to the fight against crime in the country.