| dc.description.abstract | This work aims to apply the methodology of valuation of mega infrastructure projects through real options, as a very important analysis proposal in the decision making of investment, taking into account the multiple infrastructure projects (energy, roads, aqueducts, Among others) that are being advanced and projected in Colombia and Latin America -- In practice, infrastructure projects are evaluated through traditional valuation methodologies such as Net Present Value, IRR, IRR, RBC; However, infrastructure projects may incorporate rights and risks associated with this, such as: technical, political, economic, financial, among others risks that affect the execution and completion of the work, which are not fully incorporated in the discount rate And can even generate rights that provide flexibility to the project, which are valued and that with the application of traditional methodologies, are not incorporated or valued -- In this paper, two infrastructure projects will be evaluated, such as: -- Oleoducto Bicentenario de Colombia – Fase I Araguaney-Banadia (OBC) -- Proyecto Mejorías de la seguridad Energético del país y Desarrollo del Gasoducto Sur Peruano (GSP) -- On which the Real Options Valuation methodology will be applied, based on the estimate of the WACC average Cost of capital for infrastructure projects, incorporating the risks of each project and country through the Extended CAPM model -- Subsequently, some of the traditional valuation methods, such as Net Present Value or NPV, Internal Rate of Return or IRR, Profitability Index or IRR, Cost Benefit Ratio or RBC will be evaluated and will be complemented by the application of the Valuation by Real Options, using the Binomial Trees methodology for American type options and Black And Sholes Merton, for European type options -- In the development of this paper, the methodology will be presented to include the risks in the big infrastructure projects and the Real Options Assessment, incorporating the uncertainty of different strategic implementation alternatives contemplated in the same, specifically in the signed construction contracts | |
