Higher education landscape 2030 : A trend analysis based on the ahead international horizon scanning
Autor
Orr, Dominic
Luebcke, Maren
Schmidt, J. Philipp
Ebner, Markus
Wannemacher, Klaus
Ebner, Martin
Dohmen, Dieter
Institución
Resumen
Between February 2018 and January 2019, a systematic analysis of current trends
and requirements in the areas of knowledge and competence was carried out within
the project “(A) Higher Education Digital (AHEAD)—International Horizon
Scanning/Trend Analysis on Digital Higher Education.” One aim of this project
was to examine the latest developments in learning theory, didactics, and
digital-education technology against the background of (increasingly) digitized
higher education. The analysis formed the basis for a horizon scanning of higher
education in 2030, designed to develop future scenarios that would meet future
higher education demands by taking advantage of social and digital innovations.
This study was conducted on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of
Education and Research (BMBF) by the FiBS Research Institute for the Economics
of Education and Social Affairs together with the HIS Institute for Higher Education
Development e.V. (HIS-HE).
The AHEAD study was commissioned to look into the future and reveal what
the higher education landscape could look like in 2030. The study takes account of
technological developments in society, without seeing them as the sole force
driving future higher education. Rather, it assumes that higher education will
change by 2030 as a result of developments in the following areas:
– Knowledge and competence requirements from industry and social changes, in
an increasingly digitalized world;
– New developments in didactics, reflecting current discussions in the field of
didactics and learning theory;
– Digital technologies and new ways of using these technologies, which are likely
to create new forms of learning and environments for learning.
This study was conducted in two phases. First, preliminary studies were carried
out to investigate the three areas mentioned above, using literature evaluations,
surveys, interviews, and subsequent discussions with the AHEAD International
Advisory Board.