dc.creatorWu, Yu
dc.creatorJing, Wenzhan
dc.creatorLiu, Jue
dc.creatorMa, Qiuyue
dc.creatorYuan, Jie
dc.creatorWang, Yaping
dc.creatorDu, Min
dc.creatorLiu, Min
dc.date.accessioned2020-07-14T17:46:42Z
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-23T18:05:20Z
dc.date.available2020-07-14T17:46:42Z
dc.date.available2022-09-23T18:05:20Z
dc.date.created2020-07-14T17:46:42Z
dc.identifier0048-9697
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139051
dc.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/10495
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139051
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/3494890
dc.description.abstractThe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is the defining global health crisis of our time and the greatest challenge facing the world. Meteorological parameters are reportedly crucial factors affecting respiratory infectious disease epidemics; however, the effect of meteorological parameters on COVID-19 remains controversial. This study investigated the effects of temperature and relative humidity on daily new cases and daily new deaths of COVID-19, which has useful implications for policymakers and the public. Daily data on meteorological conditions, new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 were collected for 166 countries (excluding China) as of March 27, 2020. Log-linear generalized additive model was used to analyze the effects of temperature and relative humidity on daily new cases and daily new deaths of COVID-19, with potential confounders controlled for, including wind speed, median age of the national population, Global Health Security Index, Human Development Index and population density. Our findings revealed that temperature and relative humidity were both negatively related to daily new cases and deaths. A 1 °C increase in temperature was associated with a 3.08% (95% CI: 1.53%, 4.63%) reduction in daily new cases and a 1.19% (95% CI: 0.44%, 1.95%) reduction in daily new deaths, whereas a 1% increase in relative humidity was associated with a 0.85% (95% CI: 0.51%, 1.19%) reduction in daily new cases and a 0.51% (95% CI: 0.34%, 0.67%) reduction in daily new deaths. The results remained robust when different lag structures and the sensitivity analysis were used. These findings provide preliminary evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic may be partially suppressed with temperature and humidity increases. However, active measures must be taken to control the source of infection, block transmission and prevent further spread of COVID-19.
dc.publisherScience Direct
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTL
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectTemperature
dc.subjectRelative humidity
dc.titleEffects of temperature and humidity on the daily new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 in 166 countries


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