Tesis
Estimação Bayesiana do tamanho de uma população de diabéticos através de listas de pacientes
Fecha
2005-02-25Registro en:
MISSIAGIA, Juliano Gallina. Estimação Bayesiana do tamanho de uma população de diabéticos através de listas de pacientes. 2005. 116 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Ciências Exatas e da Terra) - Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2005.
Autor
Missiagia, Juliano Gallina
Institución
Resumen
In this work, a bayesian methodology is shown to estimate the size of a diabethic-su¤ering population through lists containing information data of patients. The applied methodology is analogous of capture-recaptures in animal population. We assume correct the registers of relative information to the patients as well as we take in account correct and incorrect registers of the information. In case the supposed registers are correct, the methodology is developed for two or more lists and the Bayes estimate is determined for the size of a population. In a second model, the occurrency of correct and incorrect registers are considered, presenting a two-stage estimation method for the model parameters using two lists. For both models there are results with simulated and real examples.