dc.creatorMASSAD, Eduardo
dc.creatorWILDER-SMITH, Annelies
dc.date.accessioned2012-10-19T17:30:04Z
dc.date.accessioned2018-07-04T15:07:47Z
dc.date.available2012-10-19T17:30:04Z
dc.date.available2018-07-04T15:07:47Z
dc.date.created2012-10-19T17:30:04Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.identifierJOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE, v.16, n.3, p.191-193, 2009
dc.identifier1195-1982
dc.identifierhttp://producao.usp.br/handle/BDPI/22203
dc.identifier10.1111/j.1708-8305.2009.00310.x
dc.identifierhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1708-8305.2009.00310.x
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/1618976
dc.description.abstractDengue has emerged as a frequent problem in international travelers. The risk depends on destination, duration, and season of travel. However, data to quantify the true risk for travelers to acquire dengue are lacking. We used mathematical models to estimate the risk of nonimmune persons to acquire dengue when traveling to Singapore. From the force of infection, we calculated the risk of dengue dependent on duration of stay and season of arrival. Our data highlight that the risk for nonimmune travelers to acquire dengue in Singapore is substantial but varies greatly with seasons and epidemic cycles. For instance, for a traveler who stays in Singapore for 1 week during the high dengue season in 2005, the risk of acquiring dengue was 0.17%, but it was only 0.00423% during the low season in a nonepidemic year such as 2002. Risk estimates based on mathematical modeling will help the travel medicine provider give better evidence-based advice for travelers to dengue endemic countries.
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherWILEY-BLACKWELL PUBLISHING, INC
dc.relationJournal of Travel Medicine
dc.rightsCopyright WILEY-BLACKWELL PUBLISHING, INC
dc.rightsrestrictedAccess
dc.titleRisk Estimates of Dengue in Travelers to Dengue Endemic Areas Using Mathematical Models
dc.typeArtículos de revistas


Este ítem pertenece a la siguiente institución