| dc.creator | Hayashi S.H.D. | |
| dc.creator | Ligero E.L. | |
| dc.creator | Schiozer D.J. | |
| dc.date | 2007 | |
| dc.date | 2015-06-30T18:39:39Z | |
| dc.date | 2015-11-26T14:30:40Z | |
| dc.date | 2015-06-30T18:39:39Z | |
| dc.date | 2015-11-26T14:30:40Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2018-03-28T21:34:02Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2018-03-28T21:34:02Z | |
| dc.identifier | 1604230096; 9781604230093 | |
| dc.identifier | Proceedings Of The Spe Latin American And Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference. , v. 2, n. , p. 1024 - 1031, 2007. | |
| dc.identifier | | |
| dc.identifier | | |
| dc.identifier | http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-34547899535&partnerID=40&md5=fe26f405e2ec7fcd6f85f05797d764b3 | |
| dc.identifier | http://www.repositorio.unicamp.br/handle/REPOSIP/104207 | |
| dc.identifier | http://repositorio.unicamp.br/jspui/handle/REPOSIP/104207 | |
| dc.identifier | 2-s2.0-34547899535 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/1247176 | |
| dc.description | Risk is inherent to all phases of a petroleum field lifetime due to geological, economic and technological uncertainties, which are very significant on oil recovery in development phase, the focus of this work. The acquisition of additional information of uncertain attributes and flexibility during the development are key points to risk mitigation. The Value of Information (Vol) is used to quantify the benefits of new information, giving more accuracy to the project. The Value of Flexibility (VoF) measures the benefits of adding flexibility to the project considering different possible scenarios. A new and reliable methodology has been proposed to quantify Vol and VoF based on the decision tree technique in order to combine the uncertain attributes. All reservoir models generated by the tree are submitted to parallel simulation and Geological Representative Models (GRM) are selected to represent geological uncertainties. The methodology includes the criteria used for selection of GRM, optimization of production strategies of each GRM considering the gathering of additional information and statistical treatment of the results. The methodology has been applied in a decision-making process of a giant offshore petroleum field. The field has been developed by blocks due to its physical limitations and intrinsic characteristics and the high investment necessary to develop a giant field. The contributions of this work are (1) to show the importance of Vol and VoF concepts in decision-making process in petroleum field development and the complexity of this type of decision, (2) to apply the proposed methodology in a giant offshore field modeled by parts, minimizing risks associated to the development of this type of field and (3) to evaluate the importance of the reservoir uncertainties in risk mitigation. An additional important contribution is to present the details of the use of reservoir simulation in the process, trying to obtain the best relationship between computation effort and reliability of the decision making process. Copyright 2007, Society of Petroleum Engineers. | |
| dc.description | 2 | |
| dc.description | | |
| dc.description | 1024 | |
| dc.description | 1031 | |
| dc.description | Begg, S., Bratvold, R., The Value of Flexibility in Managing Uncertainty in Oil and Gas Investments, ATCE (2002) SPE 77586, , Texas, USA | |
| dc.description | Coopersmith, E.M., Cunningham, P.C., A Practical Approach to Evaluating the Value of Information and Real Option Decisions in the Upstream Petroleum Industry (2002) SPE 77582, ATCE, , Texas, EUA | |
| dc.description | Costa, A.P.A., Schiozer, D.J., Treatment of Geological Attributes in Risk Analysis Applied to the Appraisal Phase of Petroleum Fields Petroleum Society's Canadian International Petroleum Conference, , Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Paper 2003-098 | |
| dc.description | Hayashi, S.H.D., (2005) Valor da Flexibilização e Informação em Desenvolvimento de Campo por Módulos, , Msc, UNICAMP, Campinas, Brasil, 118pp | |
| dc.description | Jensen, T.B., Estimation of Production Forecast Uncertainty for a Mature Production License (1998) ATCE, SPE 49091, , LA, USA | |
| dc.description | Ligero, E.L., Xavier, A.M., Schiozer, D.J., Value of Information during Appraisal and Development of Petroleum Fields (2005) 18th International Congress of Mechanical Engineering, (COBEM), , Ouro Preto, Brasil | |
| dc.description | Ligero, E.L., Machio, C., Schiozer, D.J., Quantifying the Impact of Grid size, Upscaling and Streamline Simulation in the Risk Analysis Applied to Petroleum Field Development (2003) SPE Reservoir Simulation Symposium, SPE79677, , Houston, USA | |
| dc.description | Lorenz, J., Net Values of Our Information (1988) Journal of Petroleum Technology, , Abril | |
| dc.description | Mezzomo, C.C., Otimização de Projetos de Desenvolvimento Integrada àAnálise de Risco (2005), PhD Thesis, UNICAMP, Campinas, Brasil, 156ppNepomuceno, F., Alocação de Recursos Financeiros em Projetos de Risco na Exploração de Petróleo (2000) Revista de Administração de Empresas, pp. 63-75. , São Paulo, Brasil, pp | |
| dc.description | Newendorp, P.D., Schuyler, J., (2000) Decision Analysis for Petroleum Exploration, , Planning Press, 606 pp, USA | |
| dc.description | Santos, J.A.M., Schiozer, D.J., Quantifying Production Strategy Impact in Risk Analysis of an E&P Project using Reservoir Simulation (2003) SPE Reservoir Simulation Symposium, SPE, , 79679 Houston, USA | |
| dc.description | Schiozer, D.J., Ligero, E.L., Suslick, S.B., Costa, A.P.A., Santos, J.A.M., Use of Representative Models in the Integration of Risk Analysis and Production Strategy Definition (2004), 44. , JPSE, nl-2, v, ppl31-141Steagall, D.E., Schiozer, D.J., Uncertainty Analysis in Reservoir Production Forecast during the Appraisal and Pilot Production Phases (2001) SPE Reservoir Simulation Symposium, SPE, , 66399 Dallas, USA | |
| dc.description | Subbey, S., Christie, M., A Strategy for Rapid Quantification of Uncertainty in Reservoir Performance Prediction (2003) SPE Reservoir Simulation Symposium, , SPE79678, Houston, USA | |
| dc.description | Suslick, S.B., Furtado, R., Quantifying the Value of Technological, Environmental and Financial Gain in Decision Models for Offshore Oil Exploration (2001), 32. , JPSE, nl-2, v, ppl 15-125Xavier, A.M., Ligero, E.L., Schiozer, D.J., Metodologia para Cálculo do Valor de Informação no Desenvolvimento de Campos de Petróleo (2006) Rio Oil and Gas Expo and Conference, , Rio de Janeiro, Brasil | |
| dc.description | Xavier, A.M., (2004) Análise do Valor da Informação na Avaliação e Desenvolvimento de Campos de Petróleo, , Msc, UNICAMP, Campinas, Brasil, 159pp | |
| dc.language | en | |
| dc.publisher | | |
| dc.relation | Proceedings of the SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference | |
| dc.rights | fechado | |
| dc.source | Scopus | |
| dc.title | Decision-making Process In Development Of Offshore Petroleum Fields | |
| dc.type | Actas de congresos | |
