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Socioecological conditions predict degu social instability and provide limited cues to forecast subsequent breeding conditions
(SPRINGER, 2021-05)
Permanent changes in group membership may result in detrimental fitness effects on both group residents and immigrants. Factors associated with this form of social instability are rarely documented. We used a 15-year dataset ...
Forecast combination using Optimization techniques
(Escuela de estadísticaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín, 2020-01-30)
Actualmente existen diversas metodologías de pronóstico, que van desde el conocimiento empírico hasta métodos innovadores, individuales o combinados, que demuestran resultados óptimos. Este documento se deriva de un proceso ...
Challenging population dynamics models with new data: how accurate were our inferences?Desa ando los modelos de dinámica de poblaciones con nuevos datos: ¿Qué tan precisas fueron nuestras inferencias?
(Sociedad Argentina para el Estudio de los Mamíferos; Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas Centro Regional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto Argentino de Investigaciones de las Zonas Aridas, 2020-08)
Dada la falta de datos adicionales, muchos estudios de dinámica de poblaciones y de ecología en general no muestran el poder predictivo de los modelos que proponen. Mientras tanto, esto es básico para el desarrollo de la ...
Malaria vectors in South America: current and future scenarios
(BioMed Central, 2015)
Abstract
Background
Malaria remains a significant public health issue in South America. Future climate change may influence the distribution of the disease, which is dependent ...
Ecological response to altered rainfall differs across the Neotropics
(2020-04-01)
There is growing recognition that ecosystems may be more impacted by infrequent extreme climatic events than by changes in mean climatic conditions. This has led to calls for experiments that explore the sensitivity of ...
Chagas disease mortality in Brazil: A Bayesian analysis of age-period-cohort effects and forecasts for two decades
(Public Library of Science, 2019)
Annual Progress Report N°5
(2013)
The Development Plan of the Center for Oceanographic Research in the eastern South Pacific (COPAS) within
the Basal Funding Program of CONICYT was designed to respond to the scientific, technological, productive,
social, ...
Technological and social innovation: two sides of the same coin. Social innovation ecosystem: highlights from Colombia and France
Social problems have always shown a challenge to solve; certain with more urgency than others. However, although there are currently new tools and opportunities to solve them, a more holistic view of these problems is still ...
Pine invasions in treeless environments: dispersal overruns microsite heterogeneity
(2016)
Understanding biological invasions patterns and mechanisms is highly needed for forecasting and managing these processes and their negative impacts. At small scales, ecological processes driving plant invasions are expected ...