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Impossible inference in econometrics: theory and applications to regression discontinuity, bunching, and exogeneity tests
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2017-10)
This paper presents necessary and su cient conditions for tests to have trivial power. By inverting these impractical tests, we demonstrate that the bounded con dence regions have error probability equal to one. This theo- ...
Alternatives to Randomized Control Trials: A Review of Three Quasi-experimental Designs for Causal Inference
(Instituto de Investigaciones Psicológicas, Universidad de Costa Rica, 2015)
Unconditional transfers goes to health? Evidence from Brazilian municipalities
(2015-03-02)
This study assesses the impact of unconditional transfer resources on the health indicators of Brazilian municipalities. This transfer refers to the Participation Fund of Municipalities (FPM) where at least 15% of its value ...
Investment capacity and the electoral marketplace: evidence from Brazil
(2019)
The importance of money in elections is a hallmark of contemporary democracies. In this paper, we study how investment capacity, defined as the resources remaining after the municipality perform the mandatory expenditures, ...
Short and long-term effects of a child-labor ban
(2016)
This is the first study that investigates the short and long-term causal effects of a child-labor ban. We explore the law that increased minimum employment age from 14 to 16 in Brazil in 1998 and uncover its impact on time ...
The relationship between federal budget amendments and local electoral power
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2015-09)
The objectives of this paper are twofold. First, we investigate whether politicians use resources from the federal budget to maintain and expand their political capital. Second, we examine whether such strategy is rewarded ...
Legislature size and welfare: evidence from Brazil
(2019)
What is the effect of legislature size on public service provision? While the literature relates legislature size to representation and government expenditure, its implications for welfare remain understudied. In this ...