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Impossible inference in econometrics: theory and applications to regression discontinuity, bunching, and exogeneity tests
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2017-10)
This paper presents necessary and su cient conditions for tests to have trivial power. By inverting these impractical tests, we demonstrate that the bounded con dence regions have error probability equal to one. This theo- ...
Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities
(2010-06-16)
We exploit a discontinuity in Brazilian municipal election rules to investigate whether political competition has a causal impact on policy choices. In municipalities with less than 200,000 voters mayors are elected with ...
Unconditional transfers goes to health? Evidence from Brazilian municipalities
(2015-03-02)
This study assesses the impact of unconditional transfer resources on the health indicators of Brazilian municipalities. This transfer refers to the Participation Fund of Municipalities (FPM) where at least 15% of its value ...
Efecto Incumbente en elecciones municipales: un análisis de regresión discontinua para Guatemala
(Universidad Alberto Hurtado. Facultad de Economía y Negocios, 2015)
Alternatives to Randomized Control Trials: A Review of Three Quasi-experimental Designs for Causal Inference
(Instituto de Investigaciones Psicológicas, Universidad de Costa Rica, 2015)
The relationship between federal budget amendments and local electoral power
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2015-09)
The objectives of this paper are twofold. First, we investigate whether politicians use resources from the federal budget to maintain and expand their political capital. Second, we examine whether such strategy is rewarded ...
The impact of grade retention on juvenile crime
(Elsevier, 2021)
This paper studies the causal effect of grade retention in primary school on juvenile crime in Chile. Implementing a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, we find that repeating an early grade in primary school decreases ...