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Rare event simulation with fully automated importance splitting
(Springer, 2015-08)
Probabilistic model checking is a powerful tool for analysing probabilistic systems but it can only be efficiently applied to Markov models. Monte Carlo simulation provides an alternative for the generality of stochastic ...
Rare event simulation with fully automated Importance splitting
(2015)
Probabilistic model checking is a powerful tool for analysing probabilistic systems but it can only be efficiently applied to Markov models. Monte Carlo simulation provides an alternative for the generality of stochastic ...
Stochastic discount factor bounds and rare events: a review
(2016-03-22)
We aim to provide a review of the stochastic discount factor bounds usually applied to diagnose asset pricing models. In particular, we mainly discuss the bounds used to analyze the disaster model of Barro (2006). Our ...
Hitting and returning to rare events for all alpha-mixing processes
(ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, 2011)
We prove that for any a-mixing stationary process the hitting time of any n-string A(n) converges, when suitably normalized, to an exponential law. We identify the normalization constant lambda(A(n)). A similar statement ...
Analysis of non-Markovian repairable fault trees through rare event simulation
(2022)
Dynamic fault trees (DFTs) are widely adopted in industry to assess the dependability of safety-critical equipment. Since many systems are too large to be studied numerically, DFTs dependability is often analysed using ...
Better automated importance splitting for transient rare events
(Springer Verlag Berlín, 2017-10)
Statistical model checking uses simulation to overcome the state space explosion problem in formal verification. Yet its runtime explodes when faced with rare events, unless a rare event simulation method like importance ...
The rare event: Epistemology and complexity
Rare events have happened ever since the beginning of this universe. However, they have very recently become the subject of study and a category. This paper studies what rare events are and explores a series of epistemological ...