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Nonparametric tail risk, macroeconomics and stock returns: predictability and risk premia
(2015-02-12)
This paper proposes a new novel to calculate tail risks incorporating risk-neutral information without dependence on options data. Proceeding via a non parametric approach we derive a stochastic discount factor that correctly ...
Assessment Of Price Risks In The Sugar-alcohol SectorAvaliação Dos Riscos De Preços No Setor Sucroenergético
(University Center of Maringa, 2016)
Risk averse retail pricing with robust demand forecasting
(ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, 2012)
Good demand estimates are the key to effective pricing decision-making. However, they are subject to a high degree of uncertainty due to various factors that are unpredictable or difficult to model, thus making pricing ...
An SDF approach to hedge funds’ tail risk: evidence from Brazilian funds
(2016-03-21)
The main purpose of this paper is to propose a methodology to obtain a hedge fund tail risk measure. Our measure builds on the methodologies proposed by Almeida and Garcia (2015) and Almeida, Ardison, Garcia, and Vicente ...
An SDF Approach to Hedge Funds' Tail Risk:Evidence from Brazilian Funds
(Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria, 2017)
An SDF approach to hedge funds' tail risk: evidence from Brazilian funds
(Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria, 2017-05-25)
The main purpose of this paper is to propose a methodology to obtain a hedge fund tail risk measure. Our measure builds on the methodologies proposed by \citet*{ag15} and \citet*{aagvg15}, which rely in solving dual ...
Default risk in agricultural lending, the effects of commodity price volatility and climate
Purpose – Commodity price volatility and small variations in climate conditions may have an important impact on the creditworthiness of any agricultural project. The evolution of such risk factors is vital for the credit ...
Tests of asset pricing with time-varying factor loads
(John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2019-01)
This paper proposes an empirical asset pricing test based on the homogeneity of the factor risk premia across risky assets. Factor loadings are considered to be dynamic and estimated from data at higher frequencies. The ...
Commodity price perdictability: commodity currencies or global risk factor
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2015)
In this paper, I argue that global factors also have a role in forecasting commodity prices. That is, both global factors and the exchange rates of small commodity exporters have predictive power over global commodity ...
Conditional alphas and realized betas
(2013-12-06)
This paper proposes a two-step procedure to back out the conditional alpha of a given stock using high-frequency data. We rst estimate the realized factor loadings of the stocks, and then retrieve their conditional alphas ...