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Implied volatility smirk in Lévy markets
(2016)
We introduce skewed L evy models, characterized by a symmetric jump measure multiplied by dumping exponential factor. This models exhibit a clear implied volatility pattern, where the dumping parameter controls the skew ...
Skewed Lévy models and implied volatility skew
(World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd, 2018)
We introduce skewed Lévy models, characterized by a symmetric jump measure multiplied by a damping exponential factor. These models exhibit a clear implied volatility pattern, where the damping parameter controls the implied ...
Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface?
(Elsevier, 2015)
We develop a general equilibrium asset pricing model under incomplete information and rational learning in order to understand the unexplained predictability of option prices. In our model, the fundamental dividend growth ...
Can we forecast the implied volatility surface dynamics of equity options? Predictability and economic value tests
(Elsevier, 2014)
We examine whether the dynamics of the implied volatility surface of individual equity options contains exploitable predictability patterns. Predictability in implied volatilities is expected due to the learning behavior ...
Arbitrage-free prediction of implied volatility: a comparison study
(2020-07-30)
Este trabalho apresenta uma predição livre de arbitragem da volatilidade implícita de um conjunto de opções com a mesma maturidade. O método consiste em prever os parâmetros da parametrização SABR, evitando restrições não ...
Forecasting USD-BRL currency rate volatility usingrealized and implied volatilities data
(Universidade de São PauloBrasilInstituto COPPEAD de AdministraçãoUSP, 2019)
A new factor to explain implied volatility smirk
(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2017)
In this article, we find empirical evidence of a new smirk factor, obtained from the jump structure of the risk neutral distribution of the underlying Levy process. As an application we show how to price a barrier style contract.
Option pricing under multiscale stochastic volatility
(2015)
The stochastic volatility model proposed by Fouque, Papanicolaou, and Sircar (2000) explores a fast and a slow time-scale fluctuation of the volatility process to end up with a parsimonious way of capturing the volatility ...