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A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2008-01-01)
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to econometric forecasting of stationary and ergodic time series within a panel-data framework. Our key element is to employ the (feasible) bias-corrected average forecast. Using ...
A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast
(Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia, 2007-09-01)
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to econometric forecasting of stationary and ergodic time series within a panel-data framework. Our key element is to employ the (feasible) bias-corrected average forecast. Using ...
Forecasting and forecast-combining of quarterly earnings-per-share via genetic programming
(Universidad de Chile. Facultad de Economía y Negocios, 2008)
In this study we examine different methodologies to estimate
earnings. More specifically, we evaluate the viability of Genetic
Programming as both a forecasting model estimator and a forecastcombining
methodology. When ...
Improvement on the sales forecast accuracy for a fast growing company by the best combination of historical data usage and clients segmentation
(2014-10-29)
Industrial companies in developing countries are facing rapid growths, and this requires having in place the best organizational processes to cope with the market demand. Sales forecasting, as a tool aligned with the general ...
A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2007-01-01)
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to econometric forecasting of stationary and ergodic time series within a panel-data framework. Our key element is to employ the bias-corrected average forecast. Using panel-data ...
Machine-learning techniques and short-term combination forecasting of industrial production
(2018)
The aim of this study was to develop short-term forecasts of the industrial production index in Brazil. Forecasts are made using five different methodologies: SARIMA, regressions, a structural, a dynamic factor models and ...
Microfounded forecasting
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2019-09-27)
This paper proposes a Önancial approach to economic forecasting which can be applied to data bases of surveys of forecasts. We model the forecasting decision of an individual from Örst principles (i.e., microfounded) and ...
Central Bank credibility and inflation expectations: a microfounded forecasting approach
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2019-02)
Credibility is elusive and no generally agreed upon measure of it exists. Despite that, Blinder (2000) generated a consensus in the literature by arguing that ”A central bank is credible if people believe it will do what ...
Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation
(EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, 2016)