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Predictive dynamics in commodity prices
(FGV EPGE; Vale, 2012-08)
Apresentação do palestrante Allan Timmermann - University of California San Diego no contexto do evento "The Economics and Econometrics of Commodity Prices". Mais informações em: http://epge.fgv.br/conferencias/commodity ...
O fator comum associado à dinâmica de preços das commodities : a relação de cointegração e o fator dinâmico
(2013-11-27)
Este trabalho analisa a importância dos fatores comuns na evolução recente dos preços dos metais no período entre 1995 e 2013. Para isso, estimam-se modelos cointegrados de VAR e também um modelo de fator dinâmico bayesiano. ...
The inefficiency of interest-rate subsidies in commodity price stabilization
(Oxford University Press, 1996)
Interest-rate subsidies have been used to stimulate commodity stockholding, with the intention of stabilizing prices. However, reductions in price variability can be achieved at less government cost using a direct storage ...
Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis
(Wiley, 2014-07)
This article analyses co-movements in a wide group of commodity prices during the time period 1992?2010. Our methodological approach is based on the correlation matrix and the networks inside. Through this approach we are ...
Putting the Empirical Commodity Storage Model Back on Track: Crucial Implications of a "Negligible" TrendJEL codes
(AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, 2022)
Putting the Empirical Commodity Storage Model Back on Track: Crucial Implications of a "Negligible" TrendJEL codes
(AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, 2022)
Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons
(Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia, 2013-06-03)
The objective of this article is to study (understand and forecast) spot metal price levels and changes at monthly, quarterly, and annual horizons. The data to be used consists of metal-commodity prices in a monthly frequency ...
Solving dynamic stochastic models with multiple occasionally binding constraints
(ELSEVIER, 2021)
Non-negativity and capacity constraints on accumulation, and price floors, have particular relevance for water, oil, gas, electricity, and other energy commodities. Such constraints are empirically relevant; even if ...
Risk premium structure of agricultural commodities
(2023)
In this thesis, a dynamic pricing model is developed, which uses both futures prices and expert price expectations to model the risk premium for corn, soybeans, and wheat. The price structures of agricultural commodities ...
Theory of storage and metals forward curves dynamics
(FGV EPGE; Vale, 2012-08)
Apresentação do palestrante Hélyette Geman - Commodity Finance Centre, University of London and ESCP Europe no contexto do evento "The Economics and Econometrics of Commodity Prices". Mais informações em: <http://epge.fg ...