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Mostrando ítems 11-20 de 195
Previsão hierárquica aplicada às políticas públicas de transporte rodoviário
(Universidade Federal de Minas GeraisUFMG, 2015-07-11)
In the administration of highway concessions is of fundamental importance to monitor the tra c volume for the management of the concession as a whole and especially for planning expansion works . This work addresses the ...
Inference of stochastic parametrizations for model error treatment using nested ensemble Kalman filters
(John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2019-04)
Stochastic parametrizations are increasingly used to represent the uncertainty associated with model errors in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. One of the challenges associated with the use of these parametrizations ...
A skew-normal dynamic linear model and Bayesian forecasting
(2019)
Dynamic linear models are typically developed assuming that both the observational and system distributions are normal. In this work, we relax this assumption by considering a skew-normal distribution for the observational ...
An environmental watch system for the andean countries: El observatorio andino
(American Meteorological Society, 2010-09)
Observatorio Andino (OA) was established in 2008 by The Centro de Modelado Científico (CMC) in collaboration with Climate information applied to agricultural risk management in the Andean countries (CIIFEN). The OA main ...
Previsão de consumo de energia elétrica e elaboração de modelos de otimização em cooperativa de eletrificação rural
(Universidade Federal de Santa MariaBREngenharia de ProduçãoUFSMPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Produção, 2011-08-30)
This dissertation aims to build a set of tools based on mathematical models to assist a rural
electrification cooperative in taking strategic decisions on investing in electrical generation in
face of erratic and ...
La persistencia como referencia en la estimación de la habilidad de las predicciones del Tiempo a corto plazo
(Editora Geotech, 2017)
Se presenta un método de pronóstico por persistencia para la determinación de la habilidad de las predicciones del Centro de Pronósticos del Tiempo (CenPro) del Instituto de Meteorología de Cuba (INSMET). Todo ello para ...
Granular Models For Time-series Forecasting
(John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, 2008)