Capítulos de libros
The forecast for poverty: A review of the evidence
Fecha
2012Registro en:
978-0-8213-9611-7
978-0 -8213-9612-4 (online)
10.1596/978-0-8213-9611-7
Autor
Skoufias, Emmanuel
Rabassa, Mariano Javier
Olivieri, Sergio
Institución
Resumen
Abstract: Given the complexities involved in analyzing the impacts of climate
change on poverty, different approaches may be helpful. One is to use
economywide growth models that incorporate consistent climate-change
scenarios to show how climate change might affect the path of poverty
over the next decades. Another approach is to learn about sector-specific
channels (such as agricultural productivity) through which longer-term
climate change affects poverty, the size of such impacts, the potential
heterogeneity of those impacts, and the types of policies that may
alleviate the adverse impacts. The information generated by this approach
is useful in tackling poverty today and in preparing for future adaptation
to climate change. Yet another approach is to explore how current climate
variability affects poverty to predict the impacts of increased variability
on future poverty.
This chapter reviews recent studies that have estimated the povertyrelated
and distributional impacts of climate change in these complementary
directions. Given the multidimensional nature of welfare and the
myriad ways in which climate change can affect the different dimensions
of household well-being, we limit our discussion to monetary measures