Reliability assessment of rock slopes by evidence theory

dc.contributorBeltrán, Gloria Inés
dc.contributorGRUPO DE INVESTIGACIÓN EN GEOTECNIA - GIGUN
dc.creatorHernández-Carrillo, Rodrigo
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-22T06:41:03Z
dc.date.available2020-08-22T06:41:03Z
dc.date.created2020-08-22T06:41:03Z
dc.date.issued2020-08-20
dc.identifierHernandez-Carrillo, R. (2020). Reliability Assessment of Rock Slopes by Evidence Theory (Tesis de doctorado). Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia.
dc.identifierhttps://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/78171
dc.description.abstractEl objetivo de este proyecto de investigación es desarrollar una metodología para efectuar análisis de confiabilidad de la estabilidad de taludes rocosos, teniendo en cuenta la incertidumbre cuando la información sobre los parámetros geomecánicos de entrada es limitada. En mecánica de rocas, los métodos determinísticos y probabilísticos son ampliamente utilizados en el proceso de toma decisiones. No obstante, el primero no considera la incertidumbre y el segundo tiene limitaciones para representar la incertidumbre epistémica y tiene que asumir la distribución de probabilidad de las variables de entrada. Por lo tanto, se recurre a la Teoría de la Evidencia como una herramienta para describir la incertidumbre aleatoria y epistémica de los parámetros geomecánicos y propagarla a través de modelos de equilibrio límite, en los que la geometría es controlada por la orientación de las discontinuidades. Para llevar a cabo una mejor descripción de la variabilidad en el macizo, el proyecto utilizó fotogrametría de corto alcance, lo que permitió obtener series de datos robustas y confiables de la geometría de las discontinuidades, que fue modelada como una variable aleatoria con distribución Kent. Además, se desarrolló un procedimiento para actualizar los análisis de confiabilidad teniendo en cuenta la distribución de probabilidad de la orientación de las discontinuidades. La aplicación de la metodología en un talud rocoso de una mina de arenisca mostró su aplicabilidad a proyectos reales. Consecuentemente, la principal contribución de este trabajo es la generación de un marco de referencia para efectuar la evolución de confiabilidad de taludes rocoso basado en la teoría de la evidencia que permite combinar las series robustas de la orientación de los planos de discontinuidad, con información limitada de sus parámetros de resistencia, que puede ser actualizada a medida que se genera nueva información.
dc.description.abstractThis research project aims to develop a methodology to perform rock slope stability analysis considering the aleatory and epistemic uncertainty when the information on geomechanical parameters is limited. In rock mechanics, deterministic and probabilistic approaches are widely used in the decision-making process. However, the earlier does not consider the uncertainty, and the latter has limitations to account for the epistemic uncertainty and requires assumptions on probability distributions when robust data sets are not available. Therefore, we resorted to the Evidence Theory as a tool to describe the epistemic and aleatory uncertainty of input geomechanical variables and propagate them trough limit equilibrium models, in which the geometry is controlled by the joints orientation. To perform a better description of the variability of the rock mas properties, the project utilized a short-range photogrammetry system, which allowed us to have robust and reliable data sets on joints geometry to be modeled as Kent distributed variables. Besides, we suggested a procedure to update the reliability analysis acknowledging that orientations follow a Kent distribution. The application of the methodology to a rock slope in a sandstone mine showed its suitability to be applied in actual engineering projects. Consequently, the main contribution of this project is an rock slope evidence theory reliability-based framework for combining robust data sets on joints orientation, with limited information on geomechanical parameters, that can be updated as new information is available.
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherBogotá - Ingeniería - Doctorado en Ingeniería - Ingeniería Civil
dc.publisherUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Bogotá
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dc.rightsAtribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
dc.rightsAcceso abierto
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
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dc.rightsDerechos reservados - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.titleReliability assessment of rock slopes by evidence theory
dc.typeOtro


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