Artigo de peri??dico
A global synthesis inversion analysis of recent variability in CO2 fluxes using GOSAT and in situ observations
Registro en:
1680-7316
15
18
10.5194/acp-18-11097-2018
aguardando
90.560
96.00
Autor
WANG, JAMES S.
KAWA, S.R.
COLLATZ, G.J.
SASAKAWA, MOTOKI
GATTI, LUCIANA V.
MACHIDA, TOSHINOBU
LIU, YUPING
MANYIN, MICHAEL E.
Resumen
The precise contribution of the two major sinks for
anthropogenic CO2 emissions, terrestrial vegetation and the
ocean, and their location and year-to-year variability are not
well understood. Top-down estimates of the spatiotemporal
variations in emissions and uptake of CO2 are expected to
benefit from the increasing measurement density brought by
recent in situ and remote CO2 observations.We uniquely apply
a batch Bayesian synthesis inversion at relatively high
resolution to in situ surface observations and bias-corrected
GOSAT satellite column CO2 retrievals to deduce the global
distributions of natural CO2 fluxes during 2009???2010. The
GOSAT inversion is generally better constrained than the
in situ inversion, with smaller posterior regional flux uncertainties
and correlations, because of greater spatial coverage,
except over North America and northern and southern
high-latitude oceans. Complementarity of the in situ and
GOSAT data enhances uncertainty reductions in a joint inversion;
however, remaining coverage gaps, including those
associated with spatial and temporal sampling biases in the
passive satellite measurements, still limit the ability to accurately
resolve fluxes down to the sub-continental or subocean
basin scale. The GOSAT inversion produces a shift in
the global CO2 sink from the tropics to the north and south
relative to the prior, and an increased source in the tropics of
2 PgC yr????1 relative to the in situ inversion, similar to what
is seen in studies using other inversion approaches. This result
may be driven by sampling and residual retrieval biases
in the GOSAT data, as suggested by significant discrepancies
between posterior CO2 distributions and surface in situ and
HIPPO mission aircraft data. While the shift in the global
sink appears to be a robust feature of the inversions, the partitioning
of the sink between land and ocean in the inversions
using either in situ or GOSAT data is found to be sensitive to
prior uncertainties because of negative correlations in the flux
errors. The GOSAT inversion indicates significantly less CO2
uptake in the summer of 2010 than in 2009 across northern
regions, consistent with the impact of observed severe heat
waves and drought. However, observations from an in situ
network in Siberia imply that the GOSAT inversion exaggerates
the 2010???2009 difference in uptake in that region,
while the prior CASA-GFED model of net ecosystem production
and fire emissions reasonably estimates that quantity.
The prior, in situ posterior, and GOSAT posterior all indicate
greater uptake over North America in spring to early summer
of 2010 than in 2009, consistent with wetter conditions.
The GOSAT inversion does not show the expected impact on
fluxes of a 2010 drought in the Amazon; evaluation of posterior
mole fractions against local aircraft profiles suggests
that time-varying GOSAT coverage can bias the estimation
of interannual flux variability in this region.