Article
Geographic weighted regression: applicability to epidemiological studies of leprosy
Registro en:
DUARTE-CUNHA, Mônica et al. Geographic weighted regression: applicability to epidemiological studies of leprosy. Rev. Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, v.49, n.1, p.74-82, 2016.
0037-8682
10.1590/0037-8682-0307-2015
Autor
Duarte-Cunha, Mônica
Almeida, Andréa Sobral de
Cunha, Geraldo Marcelo da
Santos, Reinaldo Souza dos
Resumen
INTRODUCTION: Geographic information systems (GIS) enable public health data to be analyzed in terms of geographical variability and the relationship between risk factors and diseases. This study discusses the application of the geographic weighted regression (GWR) model to health data to improve the understanding of spatially varying social and clinical factors that potentially impact leprosy prevalence. METHODS:
This ecological study used data from leprosy case records from 1998-2006, aggregated by neighborhood in the Duque de Caxias municipality in the State of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. In the GWR model, the associations between the log of the leprosy detection rate and social and clinical factors were analyzed. RESULTS:
Maps of the estimated coefficients by neighborhood confirmed the heterogeneous spatial relationships between the leprosy detection rates and the predictors. The proportion of households with piped water was associated with higher detection rates, mainly in the northeast of the municipality. Indeterminate forms were strongly associated with higher detections rates in the south, where access to health services was more established. CONCLUSIONS: GWR proved a useful tool for epidemiological analysis of leprosy in a local area, such as Duque de Caxias. Epidemiological analysis using the maps of the GWR model offered the advantage of visualizing the problem in sub-regions and identifying any spatial dependence in the local study area.