info:eu-repo/semantics/other
MATHEMATICAL MODELING APPROACHES INEPIDEMIOLOGY : WITHIN HOST-DYNAMICS,CONTROL STRATEGIES AND COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS
Autor
Fernando Saldaña
Institución
Resumen
This thesis is devoted to the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases and public health
giving particular attention to the study of the infection by the human papillomavirus (HPV).
We propose several mathematical models to understand and explain health behavior and to
guide the identification, development, and implementation of disease prevention programs.
The majority of the mathematical models constructed in this work are based on ordinary
differential equations describing the average dynamics underlying the infectious disease
under study. The mathematical tools that we have used to analyze such models include global
stability analysis of equilibria via Lyapunov’s direct method, numerical bifurcation analysis,
global sensitivity analysis using the method of Sobol, and optimal control theory. The
mathematical models proposed here cover two of the dominant sub-disciplinary fields that
address the study of infectious diseases: (i) modeling of between-host dynamics of infectious
disease transmission and (ii) modeling within-host dynamics of infectious diseases, that
is, modeling pathogen-immune interactions. Between-host models have been widely used
to aid public health officers to make optimal decisions about disease control. Within-host
models commonly study the interactions of the pathogen and the host defense mechanisms
throughout an infection.
The main goal of this work is to use mathematical modeling to better understand the
causes of a disease, the complexity in the disease transmission mechanism and to evaluate
and optimatize various detection, prevention, and vaccination programs aiming to control the
spread of the infection
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