Crecimiento, complejidad económica y emisiones de CO2: un análisis para Colombia

Abstract

CO2 emissions worldwide represent a major problem, particularly for its effects on global warming. This document attempts to validate the Kuznets environmental hypotheses for Colombia, not only through the traditional measure used in this type of analysis (that is, GDP), but incorporating a new production index known as the Economic Complexity Index. Given the nonlinear relationships of the variables, they decide to use an ANFIS model. Also, as a robustness analysis, some traditional time series techniques (FMOLS, DOLS and CCR) are used. Inthis study carried out indicates that the results are not conclusive for the environmental hypothesis from Kuznets, so it cannot be validated for Colombia. Keywords: CO2 emissions, GDP per capita, Economic Complexity, ANFIS