Energy analysis of the tertiary sector of Colombia and demand estimation using LEAP
Registro en:
instname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
reponame:Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
Autor
Nieves, J.A.
Aristizábal, A.J.
Dyner, I.
Báez, O.
Ospina, D.
Institución
Resumen
This article presents an analysis for the identification
of activities associated to the technological value chain of the
Colombian tertiary sector. The main results indicate that the
tertiary sector consumed 71.4% of electricity from the National
Interconnected System (SIN in Spanish) in 2015, which
represents 45,895 TJ; as second energy source is the natural gas
with a total contribution of 24% corresponding to 15,444 TJ and
finally the oil products with a share of 4.6%, representing 2,948
TJ.
The results of estimating the energy demand are also presented
for the same sector for the years 2030 and 2050 using LEAPTM
software. A positive and a negative scenario modeling was made,
starting from a total demand of the sector of 64,300 TJ for 2015.
The model results indicate, for the positive scenario, a sector’s
total energy demand of 67,800 TJ for 2030 and 96,900 TJ for
2050.