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        Effects of temperature and humidity on the daily new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 in 166 countries

        Registration in:
        0048-9697
        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139051
        http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/10495
        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139051
        http://repositorioslatinoamericanos.uchile.cl/handle/2250/3494890
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        Author
        Wu, Yu
        Jing, Wenzhan
        Liu, Jue
        Ma, Qiuyue
        Yuan, Jie
        Wang, Yaping
        Du, Min
        Liu, Min
        Institutions
        • Universidad Jorge Tadeo Lozano (Colombia)
        Abstract
        The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is the defining global health crisis of our time and the greatest challenge facing the world. Meteorological parameters are reportedly crucial factors affecting respiratory infectious disease epidemics; however, the effect of meteorological parameters on COVID-19 remains controversial. This study investigated the effects of temperature and relative humidity on daily new cases and daily new deaths of COVID-19, which has useful implications for policymakers and the public. Daily data on meteorological conditions, new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 were collected for 166 countries (excluding China) as of March 27, 2020. Log-linear generalized additive model was used to analyze the effects of temperature and relative humidity on daily new cases and daily new deaths of COVID-19, with potential confounders controlled for, including wind speed, median age of the national population, Global Health Security Index, Human Development Index and population density. Our findings revealed that temperature and relative humidity were both negatively related to daily new cases and deaths. A 1 °C increase in temperature was associated with a 3.08% (95% CI: 1.53%, 4.63%) reduction in daily new cases and a 1.19% (95% CI: 0.44%, 1.95%) reduction in daily new deaths, whereas a 1% increase in relative humidity was associated with a 0.85% (95% CI: 0.51%, 1.19%) reduction in daily new cases and a 0.51% (95% CI: 0.34%, 0.67%) reduction in daily new deaths. The results remained robust when different lag structures and the sensitivity analysis were used. These findings provide preliminary evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic may be partially suppressed with temperature and humidity increases. However, active measures must be taken to control the source of infection, block transmission and prevent further spread of COVID-19.
        Subjects
        COVID-19
        Temperature
        Relative humidity

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        Red de Repositorios Latinoamericanos
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        Red de Repositorios Latinoamericanos
        + of 4.000.000
        Available publications
        163 Participating institutions
        Dirección de Servicios de Información y Bibliotecas (SISIB)
        Universidad de Chile
        Membership Login
        Featured collections
        • Latin American Theses
        • Argentinean Theses
        • Chilean Theses
        • Peruvian Theses
        Latest collections added
        • Argentina
        • Brazil
        • Colombia
        • México
        Dirección de Servicios de Información y Bibliotecas (SISIB)
        Universidad de Chile
        Red de Repositorios Latinoamericanos | 2006-2018